I notice that your weird-things-can-happen argument conveniently fails to address the fact that day before yesterday Rasmussen said as follows:
“The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Castle earning 48% of the vote, while Coons gets 37% support. . . . Coons leads conservative activist Christine O’Donnell, who is challenging Castle for the GOP Senate nomination in a primary next Tuesday, by a 47% to 36% margin. Last month, Coons held a similar 46% to 36% lead over O’Donnell after the candidates were virtually tied in July.”
It is fine to talk about “wave” elections and such; but we are in whatever wave exists, and that wave obviously ain’t doing the trick for O’Donnell.
The Palin endorsement will bring it on home.
Palin vs the establishment, who will win?
“I notice that your weird-things-can-happen argument conveniently fails to address the fact that day before yesterday Rasmussen said as follows:”
It is not weird. It happens over and over again, as I point out above. And historical trends are a lot more accurate than off year election polls, especially those taken three months before an election. (In July Ras had COD up over Coons, 41-39.) The election is in November. Haven’t you heard? The GOP has a 25% lead in voter intensity in back to back weeks in Gallup. Her chances are just fine, and you know it. you prefer Castle. that is your right. Try not to cry too hard when he loses.
“It is fine to talk about “wave” elections and such; but we are in whatever wave exists, and that wave obviously ain’t doing the trick for O’Donnell.”
Obvious to whom? She hasn’t even won the primary yet. I wouldn’t expect her to be leading at this point. She has yet to debate the Marxist Coons and do comparison ads, and he will have a lot of explaining to do. This is a bad year to be a Marxist anywhere.
Last month O’Donnel was leading Coons by 2pts.