I have to say, I’m not at all confident Miller has this in the bag. Murkowski only needs to win about 55% of the absentee ballots to win. What reason is there to believe that she doesn’t get 55%? She won about that same amount of the early voting, which occurred before Miller’s surge, and without the abortion ballot measure. I’m getting a bad sense that Murkowski will win in the end. I feel the odds are 65% that she does.
I agree with you, and though Alaska people talk like rebels on occasion, they are mostly very conventional in the end. They want that federal money too.
“I have to say, I’m not at all confident Miller has this in the bag. Murkowski only needs to win about 55% of the absentee ballots to win. What reason is there to believe that she doesn’t get 55%?”
You want a reason. Here is a good reason. Most of the absentees very likely come from 4 militar, a very good reasony bases where Miller got 75% of the vote on election day.
http://www.conservatives4palin.com/2010/08/good-news-disproportionate-percentage.html