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McCain Surges
07/14 06:08 PM | Robert Costa

Posted on 07/15/2010 5:14:43 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines

From CNN:

Sen. John McCain is widely ahead of his two primary challengers, according to a new poll.

A Behavior Research Center survey released Thursday indicates that 64 percent of likely Arizona Republican primary voters support McCain, with19 percent backing former Rep. J.D. Hayworth, five percent supporting Jim Deakin, a Tea Party activist, and 12 percent undecided. The primary is scheduled for August 24.

Why such a gap?

"The simple reality is that McCain took his (Hayworth's) border and SB 1070 issue away from him, and then nailed him on ethics issues pertaining to being a lobbyist and so on," said Earl de Berge, Behavior Research Center's research director. "Most Republicans just pinch their nose at that stuff, and I think it just turned them off to him. It's the devil you know versus the devil you don't know."

The margin of of error for the sample in de Berge's poll is 6.9 percent.

Hayworth responds:

Hayworth spokesman Mark Sanders says the polling firm has "no credibility."



TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: hayworth; lobbyist; mccain
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To: alicewonders

I am sure he wants to do that, but Mr. Crew Cut can’t get fundraising. Maybe he should go get a tax free government loan or something he was harping about


21 posted on 07/15/2010 5:47:00 AM PDT by Leader_Of_The _Conservatives (High time to bring back the sons (and daughters) of liberty!!!! SP4P2012)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines; P-Marlowe; Jim Robinson

A margin of error of 6.9% is pretty high. I’d recommend a better study with a larger sample and better margin of error before saying anything else. This could be all outlier numbers. Other polls don’t put the race this wide apart.

While I can’t say that the fat lady is singing, I do, however, hear her clearing her throat.

The really bad thing in this is that the age of McCain means this could very likely be his last election. He’ll be an unaccountable, insider, rino systemite. He’ll wreak havoc with conservative plans.

Is there no way to rehabilitate the third candidate? Does he have more baggage than Hayworth?


22 posted on 07/15/2010 5:47:03 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and proud of it. Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Will88; Behind Liberal Lines

>>> Or, maybe they believe what Juan McCain says?

And how many net votes does calling McCain “Juan” win for Hayworth? The evidence says “few” if any. It’s just too lame.


23 posted on 07/15/2010 5:47:44 AM PDT by tlb
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To: Leader_Of_The _Conservatives

Yeah, everyone knows that Hayworth doing an infomercial is way, way, worse than the accumulated damage that the traitor John McCain has done during his political career. /sarc

I think it’s pretty obvious that McCain is pulling in all the “favors” he’s owed - he’s a slick political machine. GOD help this country!


24 posted on 07/15/2010 5:50:28 AM PDT by alicewonders
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Either the media is trying the McCain shuffle again or there are some dumb sh*t Republicans out there.


25 posted on 07/15/2010 5:51:02 AM PDT by jetson
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To: Leader_Of_The _Conservatives
Identity revealed! Pictures, Images and Photos
26 posted on 07/15/2010 5:51:43 AM PDT by Leader_Of_The _Conservatives (High time to bring back the sons (and daughters) of liberty!!!! SP4P2012)
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To: K-oneTexas
I would add a third possibility. The polling is out and out BS, pure and simple. Made up from whole cloth. With the full knowledge that they will never be called on it, and if they are they can lie their way out of it. Six weeks after the election it won't matter. If McCain wins then they will use the win to say they were ahead of the curve on predicting the outcome. If he loses they will pass it off to a miracle come-from-behind win, and their followers will buy it hook, line and sinker.

Polls have gone from being snapshots of the situation to being a method of affecting results. The MSM uses them all the time to spin stuff.

Truth is, this poll will not affect the outcome of the election more than 1 or 2 percent, if that. What it DOES do though is trick McCain's supporters into being buoyed into giving more money and support.

America faces danger on every front. From extremist, militant Islam to a Gulf of Mexico that could turn into a huge oilcano, we're under attack all around. But the biggest threat we face, IMHO, is that we've lost control of the election process. From dog catcher to President the system has lost its integrity. And every change made in the name of improving it usually turns out to be a Trojan Horse aimed at making it easier for the bad guys to exploit.

27 posted on 07/15/2010 5:52:24 AM PDT by jwparkerjr
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

I don’t believe it. The people of Arizona have to smarter than this.


28 posted on 07/15/2010 5:53:25 AM PDT by Thebaddog (Shakey Jake said, " The hippies will never survive!")
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To: jetson
...or there are some dumb sh*t Republicans out there.

Yep - as evidenced by some of the FReepers on this very thread.

29 posted on 07/15/2010 5:53:59 AM PDT by alicewonders
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

All set to “reach across the aisle” again.


30 posted on 07/15/2010 5:54:53 AM PDT by Mobties
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To: tlb
And how many net votes does calling McCain “Juan” win for Hayworth? The evidence says “few” if any. It’s just too lame.

Lol, Juan has earned the distinction of being called Juan, several times over. And calling Juan Juan is one of the milder designations for Juan.

If that bothers you, you must not have read many posts around FR. And how do you like the Juan peso that has been so popular?

And, of course, we all know Juan would never say anything uncomplimentary or unkind or UNTRUE about any political opponent.

31 posted on 07/15/2010 5:54:57 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

bfltr


32 posted on 07/15/2010 5:55:01 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: Will88
According to opensecrets.org, Hayworth has raised $1,074,164 to date, with McCain raising over $15 million. By comparison, challenger Scott Brown raised almost $16 million and Marco Rubio $7 million.

We'll see if any additional money can be generated after the debates, but it's late in the game...magritte
33 posted on 07/15/2010 5:55:39 AM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
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To: jetson

Either the media is trying the McCain shuffle again or there are some dumb sh*t Republicans out there.

*****************

All of the above.


34 posted on 07/15/2010 5:57:03 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (How many Michael Steele gaffes does it take to make a pattern?)
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To: The Sons of Liberty
“Hayworth needs to run continuous ads showing Juan McLame advocating amnesty and being the dims pet RINO.”

Quite True! JD needs money. The corrupt power structure has starved JD money wise. Juan is running continuous Ads with Soros money.

Help JD with donations ASAP!

35 posted on 07/15/2010 5:57:39 AM PDT by J Edgar
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To: gov_bean_ counter

I agree. Hayworth comes across as a self-promoting nut. I’m not from Arizona but I have to admit that if I were, I’d probably vote for McCain.


36 posted on 07/15/2010 6:00:43 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard
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To: Opinionated Blowhard
I agree. Hayworth comes across as a self-promoting nut. I’m not from Arizona but I have to admit that if I were, I’d probably vote for McCain.

And how does John McCain come across to you?

37 posted on 07/15/2010 6:02:26 AM PDT by alicewonders
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To: magritte
According to opensecrets.org, Hayworth has raised $1,074,164 to date, with McCain raising over $15 million. By comparison, challenger Scott Brown raised almost $16 million and Marco Rubio $7 million.

Scott Brown was a situation that will rarely be repeated, and most of that money was raised the last three or so weeks of that campaign once it caught the nation's attention where a Republican had a chance to take the Ted Kennedy seat. That can't be duplicated.

Florida's population is almost 20 million, and Arizona around 6.8 million, almost three times as large. And Rubio has had constant support from most all conservative talk show hosts and most of the establishment. JD hasn't, and many who disagree with McCain on most major issues are supporting him.

And I don't know what organization you got that figure from, or as of what date, but JD's website has shown two completed, $1 million fundraising drives.

38 posted on 07/15/2010 6:07:05 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Palin stepped up bigtime to help out Mclame and basically killed any early momentum for Hayworth... thanks sarah.


39 posted on 07/15/2010 6:07:14 AM PDT by wyowolf ("we were the winners , cause we didn't know we could fail.")
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To: wyowolf
Palin stepped up bigtime to help out Mclame and basically killed any early momentum for Hayworth... thanks sarah.

Ah yes, McCain and the Politicians that enable him - Politics as usual, I'd say.

40 posted on 07/15/2010 6:10:50 AM PDT by alicewonders
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