Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why the Republicans Could Still Lose in November
Pajamas Media ^ | May 23 | Tim Dunkin

Posted on 05/23/2010 10:10:51 AM PDT by AJKauf

The political fortunes of the Republican Party give every appearance of rising from the ashes, like the mythological phoenix of old. Aided by the unpopularity of the radical Democratic agenda and the nakedly overbearing efforts by that party to ram this agenda down the nation’s collective throats, the Republicans are poised to roar back onto the national political scene in November in a way reminiscent of 1994.

Indeed, the talk is generally not about whether the GOP will take back the House, but by how many seats. Regaining control of the Senate, similarly, is viewed by many as an attainable goal for the Republicans. This sort of talk is aided by favorable polling, not the least of which being Rasmussen’s gold standard tracking polls, which have consistently shown that the GOP holds a decent lead in generic preference on congressional ballots — something that bodes quite well for Republican fortunes this fall. Following on spectacular victories in 2009 in which they took back the governor’s mansions in New Jersey and Virginia, there seems to be good reason for this optimism.

However, we should never underestimate the power of the Republican Party leadership to ruin a good thing...

(Excerpt) Read more at pajamasmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-33 next last

1 posted on 05/23/2010 10:10:51 AM PDT by AJKauf
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: AJKauf
If obozo steals it, right?If he can get his granny asylum then he can screw the elections up...ppl be sure to vote and lets put a end to this madness!
2 posted on 05/23/2010 10:13:44 AM PDT by FreeperDoll
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

The only way the conservatives will lost this November is if the Muslim Communist opens the doors for the whole country of Mexico to come in..Just everyone make sure we keep a close eye on the polls..


3 posted on 05/23/2010 10:14:33 AM PDT by PLD
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

Never underestimate the GOP’s ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.


4 posted on 05/23/2010 10:17:09 AM PDT by Always Right
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

OVERCONFIDENCE. IGNORING THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. NOT ATTACKING HUSSEIN’S FAILURES.


5 posted on 05/23/2010 10:17:52 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

I don’t care if the GOP wins or loses. I do care if conservatives win, and I honestly don’t see that as being possible at the moment. We might roll back some of the insanity, but there’d still be enough to spend the people’s money in grossly outrageous ways.

We HAVE to get conservatives together and run on a unified platform with set goals for the coming congressional session. Make the election a referendum on all the liberal policies that are out there, and roll back the tide.


6 posted on 05/23/2010 10:22:02 AM PDT by kingu (Favorite Sticker: Lost hope, and Obama took my change.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf
Indeed, the talk is generally not about whether the GOP will take back the House, but by how many seats.

Nonsense. This guy is deep in a bubble. The GOP figures to pick up between two and three dozen seats. At the upper end of the range, we have a chance of retaking the House, but that would require everything to break right. Let's not set ourselves up for failure by indulging unrealistic expectations.

7 posted on 05/23/2010 10:22:10 AM PDT by sphinx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Recovering_Democrat

Yup. From what I can tell the gop is still offering nothing but socialism lite.


8 posted on 05/23/2010 10:23:46 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf
I firmly believe that what “moderates” respond to more than anything else is competency and leadership. If you display these traits, they will vote for you. If you are wishy-washy, won’t take a stand for anything, and give the appearance of weakness, they will abandon you.

The author is entirely correct here. Most people are "moderate" because they don't really get the issues and want to appear reasonable. When they come to realize that the more power government gets, the more it wants and the more of your money it takes then they wise up. The GOP isn't going to win by saying "I'm not Obama" any more than they succeeded by saying "I'm not Clinton". They need a message that resonates with the people. Above all when something is supported by the people, like the AZ law, don't apologize for supporting it.

9 posted on 05/23/2010 10:26:38 AM PDT by YankeeReb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

The dirty little secret from the 2006 election was that it was mostley due to the homo Foley. We like to pretend that the big spending GOP was being punished...but if you look back at the articles and polls at the time (just before Foley) even with the war, even with the spending, there was talk of the GOP retaining control of both houses.


10 posted on 05/23/2010 10:27:07 AM PDT by icwhatudo ("laws requiring compulsory abortion could be sustained under the existing Constitution"Obama Adviser)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo
The dirty little secret from the 2006 election was that it was mostley due to the homo Foley.

Don't forget about Bush's approach to immigration. They reluctantly voted to build a fence, and to this day it still isn't done. It isn't that conservatives punished the GOP by voting dim, they simply stayed home.

11 posted on 05/23/2010 10:30:43 AM PDT by YankeeReb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: GlockThe Vote
Yup. From what I can tell the gop is still offering nothing but socialism lite.

Rand Paul.

but I know, you have your dogma and cannot be bothered with the FACTS on this topic.

12 posted on 05/23/2010 10:31:23 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is eventually you run our of other peoples money. Lady Thatcher)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: YankeeReb

Good point!


13 posted on 05/23/2010 10:33:07 AM PDT by icwhatudo ("laws requiring compulsory abortion could be sustained under the existing Constitution"Obama Adviser)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: GlockThe Vote
Yup. From what I can tell the gop is still offering nothing but socialism lite.

A very good article BTW. Still the problem is that these CONgress scabs are puppets to the elites. This is still the corrupt "Two-Party Cartel". 500 in Congress need to be replaced. Then possibly we could rid us of the Fed Reserve & put a Supreme Court in place with true conservative American values. However, the 1st oath any pol needs to do is if elected REPEAL ObamaCare.

14 posted on 05/23/2010 10:34:20 AM PDT by Digger (If RINO is your selection, then failure is your election)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

The article makes some good points. But it should be kept in mind that the 1994 Contract with America was not adopted and made public by the House GOP until six weeks before the elections. Their schedule should be accelerated this time, perhaps to about mid July or August at the latest.


15 posted on 05/23/2010 10:35:01 AM PDT by Rockingham
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

Yep, Steele the idiot is still the head of the RNC.


16 posted on 05/23/2010 10:35:31 AM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Throw the bums out who vote yes on the bail out)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

Maybe because they haven’t changed! They are just like the Democrats thirsting for power, geez but we have to give it to them to try to stop the landslide toward the left.

That is the only reason that I can see - it certainly is not because they will govern better, reduce the size of government, or actually do much of anything that the people want, it is that they are NOT Democrats - especially Progressive Democrats. They are the ones taking us down the primrose path - and at this point, only the Republicans can stop it.

Isn’t that a shame that we have to vote for the other party just to stop the party in power... That is what our vote has come to... Makes you proud doesn’t it?


17 posted on 05/23/2010 10:35:57 AM PDT by Deagle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kingu

That will take a new party. The Republican establishment will never allow it. They’d rather see the Democrats win.


18 posted on 05/23/2010 10:41:51 AM PDT by rushmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

if they get cocky


19 posted on 05/23/2010 10:42:39 AM PDT by wardaddy (never been particularly pious but I stand with Franklin Graham...bigtime...you betcha...ya'll)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AJKauf

“Republican “leaders” seem unable to establish true cohesion among elected Republicans, except in opposition to the most extreme of Democratic proposals. It’s to the point now where most of the major Republicans who are vocal about standing up for conservative principles and opposing the Democratic agenda are those who do not actually occupy leadership positions within the party apparatus itself. Think Jim DeMint. Think Sarah Palin. Think Michele Bachmann, Jan Brewer, and Paul Ryan.”

Exactly right, unfortunately. I keep getting this sinking feeling that the GOP leadership really hasn’t “gotten it” yet.

Or, to put a finer point on it, it strikes me that Steele, McConnell, etc. haven’t learned a darn thing from 2006 or 2008. They seem content to pursue business as usual while biding their time for the eventual swing of the political pendulum.


20 posted on 05/23/2010 10:43:23 AM PDT by DemforBush (There's another old saying, Senator: Don't p*** down my back and tell me it's raining.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-33 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson