Case will probably lose in the Democrat primary and throw his support to the other Democrat. Obama won 70 percent of the vote in this district. The Dems combined to win 60 percent . . a ten percent drop but not as much as hoped.
This is the most liberal CD the GOP controls except for the Cao seat in New Orleans.
I know many Case supporters - die hard Dems but not happy with the ultra liberal Dem platform. They will not follow the Democrat line on this one, especially for Hanabusa, and will switch in the voting booth.
Yes, but the nasty battle rages on until Sept. 18, the primary date. If Obama and the unions give in and abandon Case, then Case voters could be very soured on the process and protest by not voting or voting Djou out of spite. When Hanabusa was showing poorly in the special, she was getting a lot of pressure to drop out (of the special) but she was having none of it and in the end, she had the last laugh because she came in second. If she had trailed Case significantly, the pressure would have continued and been much, much stronger.
What happened is the probably the best scenario the GOP could have hoped for. The nasty battle between Case and Hanabusa continues for 4 more months with their supporting factions still at odds with each other and national party leaders being forced to take sides and money being spent in the primary battle which could have been reserved for the general. In the meantime, Djou occupies the seat and have the perks that come with incumbency, run with a positive agenda and build up his war chest. If the GOP has a real chance at maintaining this seat, the best door they could have wished for has opened up for them.