My gut says the republican will win.
It also says the period between the election and when the new president is seated will be the most dangerous time in US history.
Interesting that December 21, 2012 falls in this time period.
Just a coincidence, I’m sure.
I think Obama is not going to run so it will be clear sailing. He'll be rejected by left - they are already moaning about Kagan. Obama will do a Palin write books, make speeches, join a University and ride off into the sunset and be back in 2020. [Twenty - twenty, that sounds like his vision]