I doubt Oath Keepers will amount to more than a piss in the wind.
I quit when I realized they decided to water it down and ban all talk of militias and such because they couldn’t get active duty military and LEOs to join. These are their intended primary members, and the only folks who might really be in a position one day to activate their ten oaths. They wouldn’t join because it might jeapordize their security clearances and government pensions and such! Birds in gilded cages.
Do you think they would REALLY risk their perks by disobeying a direct order when the time came? They work for the Man, bought and paid for already by the Man. Few will turn on their master and bite the hand that feeds them when the time comes. Maybe some will, but it will not be a critical mass, most likely.
“At age 20 a man will die for the revolution. At age 40 a man will die defending his family from the revolution.” Dumas
Prepare to be surprised.