LOL... pretty funny... all your critics have died... :-)
But, you’ll notice that I said I was able to make “long-range” forecast (of a limited nature, admittedly, but still I can do it...).
I know what happens when we start entering an El Nino effect because of what happens in the Pacific Northwest (in the past). The same thing can be predicted to happen again, as it all goes together, you see. That’s why it’s easier to make longer-range predictions, as opposed to what is happening the day after tomorrow.
With the El Nino effect, California gets those rains from the Pineapple Express, it makes its way over Oklahoma as a result. A lot of that has been happening recently in California and Oklahoma recently.
And on top of that, I can tell that we’re entering a prolonged cold spell, because of the lowered sunspot activity, similar to a Dalton minimum, which does produce colder weather.
And so, I think I would make a pretty good long range forecaster but a lousy “day-to-day” forecaster... you see... :-)
Quite so, but the forecast for runaway warming is based on a total break from the cycles of the past which leaves it without historic foundation.
It rests on the models alone; it is popularized and sold in the same manner of New and Improved Tide.