Poll: Brown 48, Coakley 45

nro ^ | 1/16/10

[cdchik123]

Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley 48% to 45% in the special Massachusetts US Senate race to replace Senator Ted Kennedy in a telephone survey conducted January 12-14 among 600 likely voters in Massachusetts saying they will definitely vote in the special election on January 19.

Brown leads Coakley 94% to 1% among registered Republicans and he leads 58% to 37% among unenrolled voters. Coakley leads Brown 71% to 20% among registered Democrats. A total of 8% of Democrats and 5% of Republicans remain undecided.

Brown leads 54% to 39% among men while Coakley leads 50% to 44% among women.

Brown leads 52% to 42% among likely voters age 18 to 49 and Coakley leads 47% to 46% among voters 50 and older.

A total of 9% of likely voters say they have already voted by absentee ballot, with Brown leading Coakley 58% to 42%.

[Saundra Duffy]

Go, Brown!

[cdchik123]

She’s only getting 1% of Republican votes...37% of unaffiliated voters are voting for her.

[Mobties]

Intrade has Brown leading 53/49.5

http://www.intrade.com/

[FlingWingFlyer]

"...Coakley leads 47% to 46% among voters 50 and older."

Must be the same 47% morons who want BO to cut their Medicare in order to provide free healthcare to illegals. AARP magazine can really screw up your head if it isn't screwed on right to begin with.

[tubebender]

In-Trade had Croakley up 70 X 30 to Brown 36 hours ago...

[jwalsh07]

So what this survey says is 37% of Republicans in Mass are idiots? How could a Republican EVER vote for Kookley?

NAh, republicans support Brown 94% to 1% in this poll. One ditzy lefty republican supports Coakley in the entire sample.

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

Whenever you partition poll results by age, sex, political affiliation, or whatever; the margin of error increases for each of the subgroups. The margin of error depends on the size of the sample. If you divide by (say) sex, then the sample size is reduced by (about) half & the margin of error increases a lot. If the M.O.E. is (say) +/4% for a sample of 600; it increases to about +/- 6% for a sample of 300. The results by age, or by sex, etc. could vary substantially within the M.O.A. Try it yourself here:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/moe.html

[Theodore R.]

Let’s hope this is not a contrived poll to fool the GOP again. I suppose it will all depend on turnout, but it’s hard to see how a Senate seat is won when the MA House delegation is 100 percent Democrat.

[jimbo123]

ObamaNation doesn't need any stinkin' polls.

[Shortwave]

I correct myself. LOL! Have had to suffer seven years in the Bay State, it will be an amazing victory when Brown wins! I hope it sends tingles up Dave Matthews’s leg!

[fantom]

Yes how disappointing . I am sure you can come up with more of the many losing by winning scenarios i have seen here . I'll take a win .

[Theodore R.]

The MA elderly are among the nation’s most effective cheerleaders for big government.

[jwalsh07]

Good point, it could be an outlier. I know the statistics formula. When Bush ran the first time I memorized it. :-}

[LiberConservative]

Polls that have two candidates so close are meaningless this close to an election. We get the candidate we deserve.

[jwalsh07]

:-} I hope it makes Margery Egans head explode.

[TheShaz]

I agree, Rassmussen of all the pollsters seems to be the best. He only polls registered voters.

I think some will give Coakly a mini bump tomorrow because the Messiah is coming to town. But on Tuesday, it all comes down to turnout, will the rising tide for Brown overcome the wave of dead voters that ACORN and company will employ?

It HAS to be a solid win, a real close one will allow for all the tricks in their books to be employed.

Come on MA! You can do it! You started the Americian Revolution over 200 years ago. Feel free to light off the new revolution!

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

IMHO, NRO was remiss in not reporting the M.O.E. for the overall results, and for each of the subgroups.

[ErnBatavia]

There is absolutely NO way that a Republican will be allowed to win this election. Most of the above posters are whistling past the graveyard. The fix is in, and - surprise! - Martha's going to "win" by a quite healthy margin; this is, after all, "Teddy's seat".

Get real, people. The machine will take care of all this.

[patriot08]

HELP SCOTT DEFEAT THE OBAMA SOCK PUPPET!!

(stole this from another FReeper, but bears repeating)

•People in ANY state can volunteer for the phone bank! http://www.resistnet.com/forum/topics/phone-calls-for-freedom-call-1?commentId=2600775%3AComment%3A1891491&xg_source=activity

•Anyone… Anywhere… Contribute! https://www.icontribute.us/scottbrown

•Live in or near MA? Volunteers still needed at many regional offices. If you can help, please email Laura@brownforussenate.com and she will tell you how.

•If you live in Massachusetts, become an election judge. In Boston they pay $135-$185 and they NEED Republican monitors.

Needed; military and retired law enforcement VFW and police organizations etc to monitor polls- prevent the voter fraud they’re plotting right now. Video tape everything; document everything; prosecute the perpetrators. http://www.cityofboston.gov/news/default.aspx?id=3599

.

[goldstategop]

IF they can keep it close, Boston can supply all the needed votes to make up. If its not close, they can't cheat.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus