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Iran Unrest Could Boil Over Jan. 16: Anniversary of the Fall of the Shah Could Spark Next Round
CBS News / The Global Post ^ | January 5, 2009 | Iason Athanasiadis

Posted on 01/05/2010 9:09:06 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

As simmering unrest continues to sweep Iran, the country’s opposition is casting about for possible endgames to the ongoing crisis. Frustrated presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi proposed a five-point reconciliation plan last week but the government appears unyielding.

In the struggle currently gripping the streets of the Islamic Republic, an upcoming anniversary could prove significant.

Jan. 16 marks 31 years since the Shah of Iran fled his country, effectively handing victory to the revolution led by Ayatollah Roohollah Khomeini. Green movement activists are hoping the date could once again be the tipping point, this time for Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

And as the anniversary approaches, Tehran isn't the only city to watch. Historical precedent suggests that revolutions can start in provincial cities not thought to be hotbeds rebellious activity.

On Dec. 15, 1989, a disturbance in a small Romanian team led to a massacre that became the long-awaited catalyst for the overthrow of the Ceausescu dynasty, the last Communist regime in Eastern Europe.

The protest in the town of Timisoara escalated into the shooting dead of nearly 100 demonstrators by Romanian government troops. Nicolai Ceausescu hurried back from a foreign trip - ironically enough to the Islamic Republic of Iran - just in time to be captured by revolutionary forces, put on trial and summarily executed. This may prove relevant to the current situation in Iran because it shows that a government can be toppled by demonstrations that start in provincial cities rather than the capital city.

“In that case also, most people were expecting things to mainly be driven by the capital city but heroes were discovered in the most unlikely places,” said a Tehran-based political analyst who requested anonymity for fear of a regime backlash for speaking to foreign media.(continued)

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: greenrevolution; iran; nuclearweapons; wot
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To: AdmSmith
What do we know about Mohammad Reza Madhi? Nothing.

There is a photo of him in this article: http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/investigation/30425/iranian-insider-predicts-regime-change

So, if that’s an actual photo of “him”, then people who need to know, must know who he is, even if info on the web about him is not readily available.

21 posted on 01/07/2010 5:31:52 PM PST by odds
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To: FARS; hennie pennie; AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; ...

Wow, FARS, interesting, thanks!

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2421956/posts?page=9#9

and thanks here as well!

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2418483/posts?page=872#872


22 posted on 01/07/2010 5:40:16 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Happy New Year! Freedom is Priceless.)
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To: onyx; Oorang; MrB; Bob J; mkjessup; MestaMachine; Quix; STARWISE; Fred Nerks; Nachum; SJackson; ...
POSTED BY: FARS

>>>> "AS you know I have posted that something is going to hit the fan in the next few days and I thought I knew what it was. Now I do but can only disclose this:

Expect a "virtual" Regime Change and Khamenei losing his position within two weeks.

Nationwide activity with some new power players.

New leaders will be announced - all currently inside Iran.

Supporters of the new administration are secularists but may include some clerics on an interim basis.

Other details shared with me would be counter-productive if disclosed and in my view somewhat "let's wait and see" how effective they may turn out to be.

As I said, many a slip between cup and the lip." <<<<<

Thank you, FARS.

23 posted on 01/07/2010 6:05:30 PM PST by hennie pennie
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To: FARS; jhpigott; 1COUNTER-MORTER-68; sonofstrangelove; MestaMachine; SunkenCiv
Thank you for the extremely interesting update to this thread, FARS; and thanks to sunkenciv for info about this other FARS update which I'm posting here:

Khamenei family has fled to Russia for refuge

http://noiri.blogspot.com/2010/01/breaking-news-more-rats-fleeing.html

24 posted on 01/07/2010 6:15:09 PM PST by hennie pennie
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To: hennie pennie

Very Interesting,,,

I sure thought they would have gone to Syria...


25 posted on 01/07/2010 7:04:29 PM PST by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: FARS
Secular like in Baath Socialist or secular like in Reagan/Thatcher?
26 posted on 01/07/2010 7:24:18 PM PST by April Lexington (Study the constitution so you know what they are taking away!)
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To: penelopesire; seekthetruth; television is just wrong; jcsjcm; BP2; Pablo Mac; April Lexington; ...

~~Did someone give the ultimate threat to AchImaneedajob ?


27 posted on 01/07/2010 11:29:47 PM PST by STARWISE (.They (LIBS-STILL) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war- Richard Miniter)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Until I see the mullahs and their little Jew-hating sock puppet Ahmadinnerjacket twitching as they hang from light poles across Iran, I will presume that it is ‘business as usual’.


28 posted on 01/07/2010 11:56:22 PM PST by mkjessup (The Shah don't look so bad now eh? But nooo Jimmah said the Ayatollah was a 'godly man', that doofus)
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To: FARS
Isaiah 17 ....
The Destruction of Damascus.....

29 posted on 01/08/2010 12:08:11 AM PST by American Constitutionalist (There is no civility in the way the Communist/Marxist want to destroy the USA)
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To: mkjessup
>>>> "Until I see the mullahs and their little Jew-hating sock puppet Ahmadinnerjacket twitching as they hang from light poles across Iran, I will presume that it is 'business as usual'." <<<

Last night I happened to do a search for the exact phrase, "Israeli attack on Iran" at google.com and got more that three and a half million search results.

Changing the search, by adding the year '2010' along with the same exact phrase netted over 700,000 search results.

I know that many major governments and the all the Iranian expatriots want to have a regime change, but really, how likely is this to be successfully enacted?

30 posted on 01/08/2010 6:16:20 AM PST by hennie pennie
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