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Odds Say Republicans Gain 30 Seats in the House ... But WE CAN DO BETTER
http://electoralmap.net/2010/house_seats.php ^

Posted on 01/05/2010 11:11:27 AM PST by UncleVanya

According to Intrade.com, which uses a trading system to forecast likelihood of events, it is better than 50-50 odds that Republicans will gain 30 seats in the House in the 2010 elections:

http://electoralmap.net/2010/house_seats.php

[Note: Contracts which are trading below the 50/50 mark are shaded a lighter red. Contracts above that mark are shaded dark red. This shading helps visualize the threshold between events that are not forecasted to happen and events that are. Historically the party in power loses seats during mid-term elections, and 2010 looks to be no exception. Intrade is in concurrence with major polls which forecast a Republican gain in seats, but with in a prediction market, traders aren't just answering a pollster's questions -- they are putting their money where their mouth is.]

BUT WE MUST DO BETTER THAN THAT. This will still leave Nancy Pelossi in charge.

IT IS CRITICAL THAT YOU GET INVOLVED THIS YEAR EVEN IF IT IS FOR THE FIRST TIME. Give money, even a little. Give time, as much as you can. Call, write, make your voice heard. Get at least two other people involved with you.

IT MAY BE YOUR LAST CHANCE TO VOTE FOR SOMEBODY WHO IS NOT AN OBAMANIST SHILL.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 111th; 2010midterms; fraud; gopcomeback; pelossi; republican; vote
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To: UncleVanya

Anyone know off the top of their heads how many we need to become the majority?


21 posted on 01/05/2010 11:46:04 AM PST by NavyCanDo
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To: RFEngineer
A lot of truth to what you're saying. The Republicans keep shooting themselves in the foot (ankle, knee, shoulder, head). And we have to bear in mind that the shadow masters who bought Obama have also bought key "Republicans." The people for whom Nazi-collaborator Soros is just an obnoxious front man are in both parties and enjoy creating false dramas to keep us all occupied. They think we are too stupid to tell.

Well, sometimes we are a bit slow. We're busy working hard to make a living, supporting our kids, obeying the law, things like that. And we are decent enough not to want to think that people can be such enormous pricks. And they will stop at nothing to corrupt and subvert our process, own and manipulate the mass media, and as another poster suggests, register the populations of Mexico, Iran, Venezuala, Cuba, Kenya, and China to vote in our elections.

BUT this time is different. This is a people's war for the liberties and prosperity we and our children have earned by the grace of God. We are educated, we have initiative, and we know how to take the battle to them. Even in races in brain-dead welfare-roll Democrat states like Massachusetts, New York and California -- we must make this the toughest fight of their lives. Make them bleed every penny and ounce of energy.

And in all the states (like Minnesota) where the Obamanists use vote fraud and bottomless pits of money to file law suits to settle elections, let us fight for every single last vote. No surrenders and take no prisoners. Want law suits? We are preparing to sue the Obamanists in every court possible. Including on "healthcare" and "tax and crap." (Steak-knife Rahm stab us once, shame on you; stab us twice, shame on you again, but we're a tolerant people; stab us three times and shame on us, very very bad news for you.)

The Obamanists have their "rules for radicals." Written in faculty lounges, leftwing cocktail parties, Congressional whorehouses, Hollywood bimbo parties, ACORN and union deals with the mob, and lefist media talk shows. We have our rules written on Omaha Beach, written on Iwo Jima, written on the border with North Korea, written in every neighborhood where people have cleaned out pimps and crack dealers, written in working hard at hard jobs for too little pay but doing the right thing for our kids, written in the Constitution of the United States.

Apparently, the Obamanists didn't notice that even with secret police (the kind Obama wants to put in place here), even with tanks and bayonets (which they used in Hungary, Czechoslovakia and elsewhere), even with all the power of the Soviet state to starve and slave-labor people into submission (as the Chinese are still doing to the benefit of Walmart) -- Solidarity prevailed in Poland, the wall fell in East Germany.

Obamanists are pathological liars and neo-Marxists. They will lie, cheat and steal without blinking. But they have gotten something a little wrong: we have our rules too. We are going to live up to the standards of our forebears in the former colonies who later wrote the Constitution of the United States. Keep smirking Nancy, keep smirking Harry. Keep doing the moon-walk with your big teethy grin waving your sequined glove, Barry. We know where you live, we know where to vote, we're slow to anger. But we are not going to be shy.

22 posted on 01/05/2010 12:08:08 PM PST by UncleVanya
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To: Little Ray; RFEngineer

Then support Tea Party candidates. Work in the primaries. Whatever floats your boat. But telling me there’s no hope - you might as well just put a bullet in your head now. What’s the point of even being here?

Become part of the solution. Not part of the problem.


23 posted on 01/05/2010 12:09:13 PM PST by Free Vulcan (No prisoners, no mercy. 2010 awaits...)
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To: UncleVanya

Nice. BTTT.


24 posted on 01/05/2010 12:10:54 PM PST by Free Vulcan (No prisoners, no mercy. 2010 awaits...)
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To: UncleVanya
FIGHT VOTER FRAUD!
25 posted on 01/05/2010 12:19:00 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Recovering_Democrat
Fight ERIC HOLDER at the "justice" department. That's a start. What do you want to bet goons in black jackets with billy clubs intimidating voters are going to be even more widespread this coming November than they were before. Notice how nobody is doing anything more about ACORN? ALl swept under the rug. Plus, they're moving all the money into other front groups with different names.

Can't protect those polling stations, nosirree, too busy spending the MILLIONS it's going to take for the Islamic terrorist show trials that HOLDER is going to conduct right in New York City. You don't think that's not going to provoke terror in itself???!!! Of course it is. Holder is an Obamanist.

But we will be ready.

26 posted on 01/05/2010 12:47:27 PM PST by UncleVanya
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To: NewJerseyJoe

We The People need to continue putting the pressure on them and let them know with no-uncertain terms that we will not tolerate anything less than conservative values.


27 posted on 01/05/2010 1:06:39 PM PST by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a U.S. Army Infantry Soldier whose wife is expecting twins SONS.)
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To: Free Vulcan

“Become part of the solution. Not part of the problem.”

Hey, I vote conservative (if a candidate is available)
I vote small government (if a candidate is available)

I am merely pointing out that without conservatism, the GOP loses. So far, I hear nothing that leads me to believe that the GOP is trending conservative - just less liberal than Democrats....slightly less big government than Democrats.

So, for those who say “We can do better” I agree - but you have to do it with conservative principles - which means that without conservative candidates to espouse them, we really can’t do better. Right now we’re relying on Obama stepping on his crank to get enough GOP-blessed moderates elected.

“But telling me there’s no hope - you might as well just put a bullet in your head now. What’s the point of even being here?”

Hope? where have we heard that before?

There is plenty of hope - the first beast we must slay is the moderate GOP establishment beast, then we get to slay the really big nasty democrat commie beast.

We haven’t slayed the GOP beast yet........so the plans for a 2010 takeover of congress are a bit premature......we didn’t slay the moderate GOP beast after they blew the 2006 elections, or the 2008 elections....maybe we’ll be ready to slay the republican establishment beast after they blow the 2010 elections......or maybe after they blow the 2012 elections.


28 posted on 01/05/2010 1:22:23 PM PST by RFEngineer
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To: RFEngineer

Those principles aren’t going to happen if people don’t make the choice to get involved, support candidates, and work on their campaigns.

We have 1, maybe 2 more elections to stop it before it gets real ugly.

Just voting is not good enough anymore.


29 posted on 01/05/2010 1:31:24 PM PST by Free Vulcan (No prisoners, no mercy. 2010 awaits...)
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To: UncleVanya
Nice rant!

Remember, though, that the Hungarians were slaughtered in the streets, the unions backed Solidarity and the Soviets simply staged a strategic retreat, gave up the Wall and came back as Mafioso Capitalists with a lock on energy supplies to the West and a UN-backed environmentalist strategy.

Americans are so ignorant, so inculcated and so innocent of how politics is really played, that we may just have to experience events as horrific as those in Hungary, Poland, Czechoslovakia and the USSR before they will actually fight. Until a majority are cold, hungry, homeless because they cannot pay property taxes, jobless, unable to access timely, affordable medical care and have nothing left to lose, the Democrats can likely bribe them with bare subsistence and pleas to give them a chance.

Everything is local. As long as Democrat voters in any locale are comfortable, they will return the Democrat candidate to Congress. We need to find ways to counter the media. We need to control our counties to slash funding to unionized workers. We need to take over our school boards to weaken the teachers unions and reduce property taxes. We need to make sure our State Legislatures and Governors are Republican because nullification via the 10th Amendment may be our last hope before Armageddon.

30 posted on 01/05/2010 1:36:32 PM PST by reformedliberal
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To: Free Vulcan

“Just voting is not good enough anymore.”

I don’t think traditional politics is the answer either.

We need to be asking:

How many pitchforks have you distributed?
How many torches?
Who’s in charge of the tar kettle?
How many feather pillows have we collected?


31 posted on 01/05/2010 1:47:12 PM PST by RFEngineer
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To: RFEngineer

Not worried about that. The bastards will bring the fight to us. This is why we strengthen the state govts this election so as to be prepared.


32 posted on 01/05/2010 1:54:38 PM PST by Free Vulcan (No prisoners, no mercy. 2010 awaits...)
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To: reformedliberal
Smart, well informed comments. Spot on.

Those are the stakes. Those may be the costs. And those are the things we must stand up to do.

Americans can live or die on their feet, or consign their children to live on their hands and knees.

Let's roll.

33 posted on 01/05/2010 2:44:28 PM PST by UncleVanya
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To: RFEngineer
Agreed. We have to kick their butts too. This is no longer politics-as-usual, and this is not going to be fun-and-games.

Just to be clear, there is a higher law of the Creator. That first. We're not getting out of here alive. We might as well get out with integrity and leave the world for our children true to our Creator, the best we can, who is honored in our founding documents.

This is not about "conservatism." It is about calling every American citizen of conscience and courage from every color and decent creed (we cannot play into the evil efforts to stoke class and race warfare to keep people busy and not identify the real enemy) -- to protect the Constitution of the United States against all enemies foreign and domestic.

Nancy, Harry, Barry? (And the people who pull your strings ... ) You listening?

34 posted on 01/05/2010 3:03:11 PM PST by UncleVanya
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