I think the huge variable that most people are overlooking for fear of being called racists is the white vote which in the last election made up about 74% of the American voters. Here are Obama’s results among WHITE VOTERS in the last few polls:
F UF
12/23 QUINNPIAC 38 50
12/22 Rasmussen DTP — 53
12/17 Econ/youguv 44 50
12/16 PEW 39 48
12/15 ABC 41 -—
12/14 Easmussen DTP 37 -—
12/10 Econ/youguv 43 -—
12/10 PPP (D) 38 57
Obama received 43% of the white vote in the 2008 election and McCain 55%. If 2012 were to switch to Obama at 38% and the GOP nominee to 60% that would result in a huge shift in state results and electoral votes IMHO.
To the Black voter, he was one of them.
To the Hispanic voter, he was a non-white.
To the Lunatic Left, he was the anti-Bush.
To the Moderate voter, he was proof of their tolerance.
The question is, will the Republicans have the courage and well, plain good sense to run a viable conservative against him in '12? Or will they run this guy (again!)?