Posted on 12/24/2009 6:30:50 AM PST by grady
“Overall Approve: 44%
Overall Disapprove: 56%”
Those are the numbers that matter to me. Sorry to be a grump but the whole -16 or -21 thing isn’t as relevant imho. I go to the ras site and it seems to take me ten years to get to the number I am interested in: % approve. At the end of teh day when it’s time to vote his simple approval number is the story.
15% African American
14% Hispanic
29% Total
(Percent of population, not voters)
I think the huge variable that most people are overlooking for fear of being called racists is the white vote which in the last election made up about 74% of the American voters. Here are Obama’s results among WHITE VOTERS in the last few polls:
F UF
12/23 QUINNPIAC 38 50
12/22 Rasmussen DTP — 53
12/17 Econ/youguv 44 50
12/16 PEW 39 48
12/15 ABC 41 -—
12/14 Easmussen DTP 37 -—
12/10 Econ/youguv 43 -—
12/10 PPP (D) 38 57
Obama received 43% of the white vote in the 2008 election and McCain 55%. If 2012 were to switch to Obama at 38% and the GOP nominee to 60% that would result in a huge shift in state results and electoral votes IMHO.
To the Black voter, he was one of them.
To the Hispanic voter, he was a non-white.
To the Lunatic Left, he was the anti-Bush.
To the Moderate voter, he was proof of their tolerance.
The question is, will the Republicans have the courage and well, plain good sense to run a viable conservative against him in '12? Or will they run this guy (again!)?
You are right about that. This is the reason that markomalley and myself post moving average versions of the Rasmussen data. Markomalley's is posted above and includes 10 day moving averages. Moving averages smooth out the data. Less noise and the trends are more clear.
Here is the 60 DAY MOVING AVERAGE version of a couple of the Rasmussen data sets that I posted yesterday. These let you see the really long term trends in the Rasmussen polling. The trends for Obama are either flat or down. Never up. Good for us. Bad for Obama and the Dems.
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That’s not the Christmas present I was hoping he would give me but, I guess, coming from him, that’s a pretty nice one.
However. my birthday is coming up soon, and so is my wife’s, so maybe he’ll double up on those negatives for us?
Actually, they didn't. His total disapproval is one point higher than yesterday. It was 55 and today it is 56, his total approval is the same at 44. The index isn't the best indication of how things are going with him. -16 is still terrible and if he thinks that is good he has a problem!
I was hoping for a big 2 and 0 for Christmas but we’ll just have to be happy with the -21 pre-Christmas party the other day. Once families get together and start bickering about him and maybe the sheeple will wake up over the sneaky backdoor underhanded midnight holiday voting.
I was downtown today and people I have never seen and do not know, were all talking about how terrible Bozo is and how terrible the legislature is for pushing through a health bill that no one wants. This is CA BTW. I can only wonder what more conservative states are saying about this BS.
Thanks, I appreciate the clear thinking. Polling is always interesting. Ras is very reliable as you know.
Wow, even CA is seeing the light! Thanks for the present, lol.
I haven't talked to anyone who thinks it's a good idea - not one single person.
Has he been back to his home in Chicago yet? All the other presidents went home (except the clintons, as they never had a home). Curious, do they still have their house next to Rezko?
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