That’d be a mistake. Even in a staunchly Republican year like 2010 she probably keeps her seat on the Public Service Commission as she’s the first one since Wallace Jr. that people have actually really liked. And hell, no one knows what Jan Cook looks like and she consistently gets re-elected using the same signs she did 30 years ago.
The one caveat to this is if hell froze over and Les Phillips won that nomination. If that happened, Parker wins that seat because the rural people aren’t gonna vote for a candidate of Phillips’s persuasion.
The one interesting thing about that is that Parker’s base is in the Shoals while Griffith is based out of Huntsville. That would actually be a close race because it would be classic rural vs. urban set up and as I recall, that’s what Strange vs. Folsom turned out to be and Folsom carried the territory in that district in a real walk.
Some Tea Party activists and the Club for Growth (CFG)aren’t enthralled about Parker Griffith. The CFG is leaning towards to Les Phillips.
The upcoming AL-05 primary reminds me of the TX-14 in 1996. A Texas Dem switched parties to join Newt and the cotnract with America. He had the backing of Dick Armey, Tom Delay, and the NRCC. But Ron Paul challenged him and beat the incumbent. GOP Insiders feared that Paul, winning the primary, would hand the seat back to the Dems. But Ron Paul won the seat in the general election and kept it ever since. Could history be repeating itself?