Virginia is easy win for GOP. Even ACORN has given up so the margin of victory is much larger than usual (with the usual voter fraud).
Unfortunately, NJ will go to Corzine. ACORN operatives have moved in and absentee ballot fraud is more widespread than ever (like NJ dems need help in voter fraud..). Christie looks like Coleman ie clueless and just letting it happen.
NY-23 will likely go to Hoffman. These sort of special elections are hard to predict though (not sure how easy voter fraud is there and how large network of friends/relatives etc dede has there).
I’m hoping for a miracle big turnout for Christie, but I agree with your analysis. Virginia will be called for McDonnell by the national media the instant the polls close, but New Jersey could be an “all-nighter” as the ACORN scum will be hard at work manufacturing fake votes.