“Oh wow this means he’s really at about 35 percent.......................”
Based on your screen name you and I have nothing much to disagree about. But one thing I learned the hard way in 2008 was that polls aren’t as far off as we would like them to be, if it says 45% then it’s pretty close to that. I read so many comments here during the 2008 campaign that said “he must really be down another 10 points”. But he wasn’t, it was fairly accurate. I don’t say it to be a jerk at all, but we have to take the polls at face value and fight all the harder. Just my two cents.
I will agree with you to a certain extent but you have to admit during the last two weeks of the 2008 campaign Zogby got really erratic with his numbers having McCain within 2 of Obama and then in the next breath was trailing by double digits.
Having said that I do not believe the results of the PPP poll today that shows Obama at 52% because of the vast oversampling of postgrads-35% of the poll-should have been only 17%.
I don’t think Zogby IMHO is far off the mark but I don’t think it’s as low as 45% either-probably around 48% and low 40’s among indie voters.
I hope Rasmussen can corroborate these findings over the next 2-3 days.
I think you can always count on the Democrat owners of these polls to pump them up by about 10 percent.
During the 2008 election there were tons of polls showing Obama down and it really confused me too on election night seeing the results come in.
But you have to take into account the dead voters, felons, illegals.. and people voting 4 and 5 times.