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Iran: There Will Be Blood
The Washington Note ^ | Saturday, Jun 13 2009, 10:29PM | Steve Clemons

Posted on 06/14/2009 3:23:54 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

(To get a feel for what is going on in the streets of Tehran, watch this linked BBC video clip.)

Last night in London after appearing on Keith Olbermann's show, I got an email from a well-connected Iranian who knows many of the power figures in the Tehran political order asking to meet me. I told him that the only place possible was Paddington on the way to Heathrow -- and there we met.

He conveyed to me things that were mostly obvious -- Iran is now a tinderbox. The right is tenaciously consolidating its control over the state and refuses to yield. There is a split among the mullahs and significant dismay with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. A gaping hole has been ripped open in Iranian society, exposing the contradictions of the regime and everyone now sees that the democracy that they believed that they had in Iranian form is a "charade."

But the scariest point he made to me that I had not heard anywhere else is that this "coup by the right wing" has created pressures that cannot be solved or patted down by the normal institutional arrangements Iran has constructed. The Guardian Council and other power nodes of government can't deal with the current crisis and can't deal with the fact that a civil war has now broken out among Iran's revolutionaries.

My contact predicted serious violence at the highest levels. He said that Ahmadinejad is now genuinely scared of Iranian society and of Mousavi and Rafsanjani. The level of tension between them has gone beyond civil limits -- and my contact said that Ahmadinejad will try to have them imprisoned and killed.

Likewise, he said, Rafsanjani, Khatami, and Mousavi know this -- and thus are using all of the instruments at their control within Iran's government apparatus to fight back -- but given Khamenei's embrace of Ahmadinejad's actions in the election and victory, there is no recourse but to try and remove Khamenei. Some suggest that Rafsanjani will count votes to see if there is a way to formally dislodge Khamenei -- but this source I met said that all of these political giants have resources at their disposal to "do away with" those that get in the way.

He predicted that the so-called reformist camp -- who are not exactly humanists in the Western liberal sense -- may try and animate efforts to decapitate the regime and "do away with" Ahmadinejad and even the Supreme Leader himself.

I am not convinced that this source "knows" these things will definitely happen but am convinced of his credentials and impressed with the seriousness of the discussion we had and his own concern that there may be political killing sprees ahead.

This is not a vision he advocates -- but one he fears.

-- Steve Clemons


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: ahmadinejad; iran; iranviolence2009; mousavi
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To: calex59

Damn.


121 posted on 06/14/2009 7:06:35 PM PDT by txhurl (Put the pressure on and keep it on until this administration snaps.)
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To: calex59

Here’s another live social site:
http://almost.at/#iran

see headline,” riot in Iran; Mousevi(sp) arrested”


122 posted on 06/14/2009 7:09:07 PM PDT by hyperconservative (Freedom is worth fighting for--always.)
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To: calex59
Latest reports on Twitter is that no Iranians are now on Twitter.

That is not good news.

123 posted on 06/14/2009 7:13:14 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: hyperconservative

I’m afraid the whole purpose of this sham election was to make it easy for the regime to identify the Enemies of the State.


124 posted on 06/14/2009 7:15:52 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: LukeL
I am convinced that the vast majority of people under the age of 35 in the Middle East hate Islam and want real freedom

Why the hell should Persians be Islamic anyhow? Mohammed the Pedophile Prophet was an Arab from Arabia. Is there any hope in the future that these folks can be brought into Christendom?

125 posted on 06/14/2009 7:23:11 PM PDT by FreepShop1
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To: Irish Eyes
Ok, some twitter from Iran again, not good news though

DanBlankenship: AhmadiN has revoked all permits of the foreignmedia& has instructed them2stp reporting or they will face jailtime #IRANelection Twitter - 49 secs ago

Sounds to me as if they want no witnesses to what they are about to do to the citizens.

126 posted on 06/14/2009 7:25:43 PM PDT by calex59
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To: dfwgator

that’s a distinct possibility
worth keeping in mind


127 posted on 06/14/2009 7:26:02 PM PDT by hyperconservative (Freedom is worth fighting for--always.)
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To: Irish Eyes
More

noetical: RT @cheald: Iran jamming satellite comms, confiscating cameras, arresting reporters, etc. bit.ly/J0Rtg #IranElection Foreign media say Iran blocking coverage of protests Twitter - 53 secs ago - Link from breitbart.com - 5 shares

128 posted on 06/14/2009 7:27:47 PM PDT by calex59
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To: FreepShop1
Is there any hope in the future that these folks can be brought into Christendom?

About 2% of people are a religion other than Islam. Article 13 of the Iranian Constitution recognizes the right of "People of the Book", including Christians to exercise their religion freely.

Iran recognizes the 13th Article about like our Leftist recognize the 2d Amendment.

129 posted on 06/14/2009 7:31:31 PM PDT by Lawgvr1955 (You can never have too much cowbell !!)
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To: hyperconservative

here’s another link via the at site:
http://www.simoncolumbus.com/2009/06/15/english-language-twitterers-in-iran/


130 posted on 06/14/2009 7:32:25 PM PDT by hyperconservative (Freedom is worth fighting for--always.)
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To: hyperconservative
This sounds pitiful

tubesyb: RT @persiankiwi have no more news from uni dorm. i must go to pray now. today we will need god. #Iranelection Twitter - 55 secs ago

131 posted on 06/14/2009 7:42:46 PM PDT by calex59
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Here we go...rated R for riots


132 posted on 06/14/2009 7:51:08 PM PDT by G8 Diplomat (I'm learning Arabic, Farsi, Urdu, Pashtu, and Russian so someday you won't have to)
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To: G8 Diplomat

CathiLarsen:
@CNNbrk RT @bashix: @iran09 The Sun is up in Tehran. People at University of Tehran dorm need immediate medical help... help #IranElection
Twitter - 43 secs ago


133 posted on 06/14/2009 7:55:01 PM PDT by calex59
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To: calex59
Here's a twitter from Iran giving great big thanks to the MSM for their coverage of the "protests".

khorzookhan: mainstream media suck hairy balls! #cnnfail #IranElection #Iran tinyurl.com/l9ghvk CNN’s Coverage of Iran Protests Criticized - NYTimes.com Twitter - 1 min ago - Link from www10.nytimes.com -

134 posted on 06/14/2009 7:57:05 PM PDT by calex59
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To: calex59

Jesus, protect these poor people, in your name, Amen.


135 posted on 06/14/2009 7:57:31 PM PDT by txhurl (Put the pressure on and keep it on until this administration snaps.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Thanks for this very informative post.

Posts of this quality are one of the primary reasons I love and frequent Free Republic.


136 posted on 06/14/2009 8:02:55 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No sane man wants war. But, no decent man will avoid it when freedom must be defended.)
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To: jiggyboy

That’s exactly how I felt last night.

I never cared one whit for twitter, then as I saw this unfold with each tweet it reminded of watching communism fall across eastern europe.

Plus - watching these kids defy the whacko regime by twittering is damn cool.


137 posted on 06/14/2009 8:11:49 PM PDT by Scotswife
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To: DCPatriot

I think they must be using “right” to mean “bad,” as the media usually does in America.


138 posted on 06/14/2009 8:19:31 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Typical_Whitey

One would think Obama would stand up for them the way he stood up for the women of Islam in his Cairo speech..............oh yeah, this isn’t about hajebs...never mind.


139 posted on 06/14/2009 8:24:18 PM PDT by Protect the Bill of Rights
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To: LukeL
I am convinced that the vast majority of people under the age of 35 in the Middle East hate Islam and want real freedom

I knew young Iranians thirty years ago who said that even though they were Muslims, their behavior in private was western.

140 posted on 06/14/2009 8:29:18 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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