I'm starting to think that because you don't accept macroevolution, you think that any argument that comes out "no" must be valid. It's not.
Your link says
The one in 10^68 is the probability of calling out each card — in order — as you turn them up. That’s the correct analogy between cards and evolution. It’s a certainty you will get a sequence. But is it the exact sequence you want?Who says we want any particular sequence? That's only the case if we're trying to evolve a specific animal--in which case, yes, the odds are small.
He makes a similar error in the comments. He writes
It’s possible to win the lotto every week for a year, but it’s not going to happen as the odds are too small - it’s not probable.That's true if you only buy one ticket a week. But if you buy all the tickets each week, it becomes more than probable, it becomes inevitable. Evolution buys a lot of tickets.
[[Who says we want any particular sequence?]]
Biology says it- if it’s not possible, then it’s not possible
[[That’s only the case if we’re trying to evolve a specific animal—in which case, yes, the odds are small.]]
It’s even worse for evolving life from non life I’m afraid- Everythign after that is ‘evolving a specific animal from previous animal
[[That’s true if you only buy one ticket a week. But if you buy all the tickets each week, it becomes more than probable, it becomes inevitable. Evolution buys a lot of tickets.]]
Lol- ok whatever