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What If Iran Gets A Working Nuclear Weapon?
IranPressNews ^ | March 9, 2009 | By Barry Rubin

Posted on 03/10/2009 10:14:21 AM PDT by Fennie

If and when Iran gets nuclear weapons it would set off a global nightmare.

Most obviously, Iran could use nuclear arms to attack Israel. It's easy to say that Iran's leaders would be cautious, but what if ideology, error, or an extremist faction decides to wipe the Jewish state off the map? Even a 10-percent chance of nuclear holocaust is terrifying.

And if Israel decides its existence is at risk, it would launch a preemptive attack that would also produce a big crisis.

Once Iran has nuclear weapons, every Arab state, with the exception of Iran's ally Syria, would also be imperiled. Those countries would beg for U.S. protection. But could they depend on America, under the Barack Obama administration, to go to war - especially a nuclear one - to shield them?

(Excerpt) Read more at iranpressnews.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Israel
KEYWORDS: bho44; bhoiran; bhomiddleeast; iran; iraniannukes; iraq; islam; israel; jihad; nuclear; obama; wot
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1 posted on 03/10/2009 10:14:21 AM PDT by Fennie
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To: Fennie

There is no doubt in my mind that they will inevitability level a nuclear attack against Israel. Not a matter of if, but of when.


2 posted on 03/10/2009 10:17:20 AM PDT by McKayopectate
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To: McKayopectate
Given the centuries old rivalry between the Shiite and Sunni factions the first weapon they get may hit Saudi Arabia or other Sunni states.
3 posted on 03/10/2009 10:19:45 AM PDT by Wooly
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To: McKayopectate

They’ll hit the US first. Take us out and they’ll remove the big brother from protecting Israel. Not to mention the whole “God protecting Israel” thing...


4 posted on 03/10/2009 10:21:01 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: Wooly

To be honest, then we are at thier mercy. Sting was right, the Russians did love thier children too ... However, this bunch is a whole other story, if they get a nuke (and they are very close or may have it already) it will inevitably be used for the sheer joy of it (their sick joy of course).


5 posted on 03/10/2009 10:22:46 AM PDT by Scythian
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To: Fennie

I guess our plan is to sit back and try and impose useless sanctions and jaw bone them until they succeed. I wonder if anybody in the Government has figured out the Iranian game plan. Delay....Delay....Delay.


6 posted on 03/10/2009 10:23:11 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (tHE)
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To: Fennie

It’s Bush’s fault for not invading Iran.....at least that’s what Dems will probably say...


7 posted on 03/10/2009 10:23:11 AM PDT by jakerobins
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To: Fennie

They’d probably blow themselves up by accident.


8 posted on 03/10/2009 10:23:31 AM PDT by Catholic Canadian ( I love Stephen Harper!)
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To: Scythian
Sting was right, the Russians did love thier children too .

Sting is a moron. It didn't matter if the Russians loved their children.

What mattered was if the Russians loved OUR children.

They didn't. And the only thing stopping those Commie nut cases from nuking us was was the righteous fear of their entire rathole nation going up in a nuclear fireball in response.

With that being said, you're quite correct about the mullahs running Iran. They don't give a frogs watertight bunghole about ANYONES kids, least of all their own.

L

9 posted on 03/10/2009 10:26:18 AM PDT by Lurker (The avalanche has begun. The pebbles no longer have a vote.)
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To: Fennie

Iran could not use one Nuclear weapon. They would be destroyed!


10 posted on 03/10/2009 10:28:10 AM PDT by mountainlion (concerned conservative.)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

I wonder if anybody in the Government has figured out the Iranian game plan.

It’s the 4th quarter,Iran has the ball, they are driving and Obama keeps calling timeout so the Iranians have enough clock to score.


11 posted on 03/10/2009 10:31:13 AM PDT by Le Chien Rouge
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To: Fennie
If?

The better word is "when".

Iran's goal is not to use the nuke, but to have nukes as a demonstration of national and Shiite ascendency in the Middle East and Muslim world.

They still have to deliver a nuke either by boat or missile. Both can be stopped by our technology.

12 posted on 03/10/2009 10:32:23 AM PDT by gandalftb (An appeaser feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last......)
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To: jakerobins

The goal posts of History.


13 posted on 03/10/2009 10:35:05 AM PDT by MaxMax (RINO=RAT!)
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To: Fennie

I would say they would do a Middle East version of Pearl Harbor, they would wait for a time and place where as many of our ships that beint he US if not Israel, planes or personnel are concentrated and then do a suicide-nuke.

I would not be surprised if Iran was to even go so far as to do it in Afghanistan.


14 posted on 03/10/2009 10:36:12 AM PDT by Eye of Unk (How strangely will the Tools of a Tyrant pervert the plain Meaning of Words! SA)
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To: Fennie

The real answer is that Iran will become more assertive, militarily and economically. They will be freer to engage in conventional warfare and regional bullying.


15 posted on 03/10/2009 10:36:49 AM PDT by swain_forkbeard (Rationality may not be sufficient, but it is necessary.)
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To: Lurker

The mullahs are concerned about their own wrinkly hides. Let ‘em have their nuke. And let ‘em know in no uncertain terms that their hides will burned with nuclear fire if they ever dare try to use it.

I’m sick and tired of the US having to step up over and over again when the people really in peril don’t try and take care of their own business.


16 posted on 03/10/2009 10:36:58 AM PDT by ksen (Don't steal. The government hates the competition. - sign on Ron Paul's desk)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
Middle East and terrorism, occasional political and Jewish issues Ping List. High Volume

If you'd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.

..................

17 posted on 03/10/2009 10:38:21 AM PDT by SJackson (a tax cut is non-targetedÂ…no guaranteeÂ…theyÂ’re free to invest anywhere that they want, J Kerry)
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To: mountainlion
That assumes they don't actually believe that if they're martyred fighting against the infidels (the Jews and Crusaders) they'll get an express ride to paradise.

Nobody really knows what they'll do, but no one with any brains believes with any conviction that they would be have more or less rationally in the way the Soviets did.

The earlier poster who objected to the comment about the Russians loving their children being irrelevant was wrong. Believing that the US would massively retaliate if they used nuclear weapons (even indirectly), they were not willing to see their own families destroyed. The Russians, at least as officially atheist Marxists, did not have any hope of achieving paradise by having the world blown up.

One cannot thus argue concerning the Iranian mullahs!

18 posted on 03/10/2009 10:38:24 AM PDT by CatoRenasci (Ceterum Censeo Arabiam Esse Delendam -- Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit)
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To: mountainlion
Exactly. People should not worry about an attack on US soil by a single nuke from Iran. If they could actually get a single ICBM to the continental US and on target it could certainly cause massive casualties. But I suspect (hope) that once we knew a weapon was in the air we would reply in kind on a massive scale before it was halfway here.

And a single nuke on Israel would prompt the same response.
So Iran kills 1000’s in Israel..then what? They have nothing left and are promptly decimated.

A single nuke is not an arsenal. It's just one BIG bomb. One shot. If anyhting with would be used to cause massive upheaval in the ME while at the same time resulting in unprecedented action against Iran.

I think even Russia and China would raise some eyebrows if Iran actually used a nuke.

19 posted on 03/10/2009 10:40:42 AM PDT by Ribeye (Protective head wear courtesy of Reynolds Aluminum Products- Extra-cranial RF Suppression Division)
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To: gandalftb

Yep.


20 posted on 03/10/2009 10:43:15 AM PDT by Ribeye (Protective head wear courtesy of Reynolds Aluminum Products- Extra-cranial RF Suppression Division)
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