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Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'
Wall Street Weekly ^ | February 20, 2009 | Liz Peek

Posted on 02/20/2009 12:44:57 PM PST by grundle

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver. Over the realistic objections of the National Economic Council’s Larry Summers and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, it is said that Chief of Staff Rahm Emmanuel encouraged Senator Chris Dodd to, at the last minute, attach a punitive pay cap on Wall Street execs into the stimulus bill. This tug of war may also account for the gaping holes in the financial bill delivered with child-like upspeak by Geithner, and similar inadequacies in the new mortgage plan. The housing program stupidly omits an obvious need to insulate mortgage servicers from legal claims that they abridged mortgage-holders rights. Because so many mortgages were packaged and sold off to investors, immunity from lawsuits is a necessity if we want servicers to change mortgage terms.

The White House scramble has led to creeping fear that we’re dealing with the Junior Varsity. I’ve even heard people pining for former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson — hard to imagine, right? (No one quite misses Bush yet; let’s hope it doesn’t come to that.)

Now we need President Obama to quit the campaign trail and start looking presidential. He needs to take ownership of the country’s problems and solutions. We all get that he inherited this mess, but as a candidate he had a lot of answers on how he would manage the clean-up; it’s time to get on with it. He needs to push his initiatives forward as quickly as possible, and create some optimism that spending trillions of dollars will get us out of this crisis. We know that having the government patch up schools or revise mortgages will be untidy and expensive, but the sheer volume of money being thrown at these problems will ultimately have an impact.

Even the expectation of help on the way could prove beneficial. I usually try to find some good news to share with wOw readers, and so I am happy to report that yesterday the Conference Board reported that its index of leading indicators rose in January for the second month in a row. The index turned negative in July 2007, heralding the downturn, and appears to have bottomed this past December. Items boosting the index are a strong rise in the nation’s money supply, improved credit spreads, a slight pop in new orders for nondefense capital goods and a modest rise in consumer expectations.

My concern is that recent events have squelched that optimism among consumers, and that the nation’s mood is even darker than it was a few months ago. Remember how Obama derided the “politics of fear?” He’s become its greatest champion.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: bho44; bhodjia; bhoeconomy; first100days
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1 posted on 02/20/2009 12:44:57 PM PST by grundle
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To: grundle
Now we need President Obama to quit the campaign trail and start looking presidential.

How about acting Presidential?
2 posted on 02/20/2009 12:47:56 PM PST by divine_moment_of_facts
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To: divine_moment_of_facts

You’ve got to have a legit birth certificate before’ you look presidential.


3 posted on 02/20/2009 12:54:44 PM PST by max americana
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To: grundle
Well, first she says that the market doesn't like these pork-laden boondoggles, and therefore it has been going down ever since the inauguration.

But then she say, in effect, "So, hurry up and push these miserable plans through and save us, Messiah!" I don't see how else you can interpret this money quote:

We all get that he inherited this mess, but as a candidate he had a lot of answers on how he would manage the clean-up; it’s time to get on with it. He needs to push his initiatives forward as quickly as possible, and create some optimism that spending trillions of dollars will get us out of this crisis. We know that having the government patch up schools or revise mortgages will be untidy and expensive, but the sheer volume of money being thrown at these problems will ultimately have an impact.

In other words, "Faster, Obama, faster! Throw more money at the problem! Push through MORE Porculus bills."

Yeah, great. This reporter has an IQ of no more than 75, I would venture to guess.

Rush says, "I hope he fails," because he's trying to destroy the country. This idiot says, "I hope he succeeds," because he's trying to destroy the country. Hmmm. A bad case of koolaid drinking here.

4 posted on 02/20/2009 12:58:50 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: grundle
This is from a site called wowowow.com. weird.

wowOwow is a free daily Internet website created, run and written by Lesley Stahl, Peggy Noonan, Liz Smith, Joni Evans, Mary Wells, Sheila Nevins, Joan Juliet Buck, Whoopi Goldberg, Julia Reed, Joan Ganz Cooney, Judith Martin, Candice Bergen, Lily Tomlin, Jane Wagner, and Marlo Thomas.

5 posted on 02/20/2009 12:59:13 PM PST by Sax
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To: grundle
FUBO
6 posted on 02/20/2009 1:00:45 PM PST by AngryJawa (Obama's Success is America's Failure)
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To: grundle

Yet I give him an F- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -


7 posted on 02/20/2009 1:01:38 PM PST by A_Former_Democrat
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To: max americana
Isn't it funny how the Libs dug into Presidents Bush past and to their dismay found out he actually earned more points than required in the Coast Guard! Wouldn't it be nice to know at least one grade Obama received in college? And, at least one paper he wrote? Not making his birth certificate public is unacceptable.. Why do the Democrats always get away this crap?
8 posted on 02/20/2009 1:07:25 PM PST by divine_moment_of_facts
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To: divine_moment_of_facts

Very good points. We haven’t seen one graded paper as I recall. All I know from this doofus are the marketing slogans :hope, change and community organizer. That’s it.


9 posted on 02/20/2009 1:09:18 PM PST by max americana
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To: grundle

Stock market gives Obama’s first month an “F”.....

And 57 million Americans give him the finger!


10 posted on 02/20/2009 1:26:51 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: max americana

This boy President is just winging it, and flailing wildly like a blind man in a gang fight. His advisors are even more anti-American than he is. They will all be out of office soon enough due to incompetence.


11 posted on 02/20/2009 1:27:50 PM PST by mallardx
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To: grundle

I heard people calling talk radio today who were Dems and voted for him. They also gave him an F. Out of control spending was the main reason, also broken campaign promises.


12 posted on 02/20/2009 1:28:05 PM PST by Lady GOP
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To: grundle

If life were “Peanuts” I’d give him a Z minus, but an F will have to suffice.


13 posted on 02/20/2009 1:31:35 PM PST by jpl (Help us Obambi Wan Kenobi, you're our only dope.)
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To: grundle

The market began to tank as soon as it become evident that Obama even may become president.

Take Drudge’s ‘historic’ link:
http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=1&chdv=1&chvs=maximized&chdeh=0&chdet=1235163600000&chddm=8602&q=INDEXDJX:.DJI&ntsp=0

... and drag the bracket slider at the bottom to when Obama announced his bid in Jan. ‘07. Then check the Real Clear Politics tracking of McCain’s favorable/unfavorable graph:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/mccain_favorableunfavorable-642.html

...and the Obama vs. Clinton graph:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

... then the Obama vs. McCain graph:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

Match each to the Dow and you’ll see that the market had been anticipating an Obama victory for a while.


14 posted on 02/20/2009 1:36:39 PM PST by Kent C
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To: grundle

"FUBO"


15 posted on 02/20/2009 1:44:20 PM PST by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: grundle
Headline?

"Big money" conservatives hurt recovery, need unbiased investing
Congress Sees Fairness Doctrine For Investors
"Invest or lose your license," says White House

16 posted on 02/20/2009 2:01:16 PM PST by WilliamofCarmichael (If modern America's Man on Horseback is out there, Get on the damn horse already!)
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To: grundle
patch up schools

Clueless, just clueless.

As for the sheer volume, the market has destroyed more this month than the stimulus bill.

You can't solve the crisis by attacking the only people who can fix it. You can't make capital more abundant by confiscating it. You can't make the market go up by issuing subpeonas and talking up nationalization.

You back the heck off and try to actually help financiers --- or you go straight to hell.

Your choice. All yours.

17 posted on 02/20/2009 2:04:55 PM PST by JasonC
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To: grundle
Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline

There may have been a plausible reason to justify for that.

(and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it)

Right up until that point.

Obama has shown himself to be an outrageous con artist.

18 posted on 02/20/2009 2:12:21 PM PST by Polybius
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To: grundle

think what the market would be if ZerO
said
1- eliminate corp taxes
2-half off fica taxes
3- i am gong to drastically cut spending
4- no bailouts
5-a few bombs for iran for just being a#$%&*es
it would be above 14,000
plus his approval rating would be 90%.
Now, i believe ZerO knows this, so his goal is to ruin the country, no other explanation.


19 posted on 02/20/2009 2:45:06 PM PST by genghis
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To: grundle

Peek is wrong on several counts. Her assertion that Obama “inherited” the mess omits the fact that Obama and his leftist cohorts helped create the mess through decades of anti-market actions. She will very shortly be longing for Bush back in the Oval Office.


20 posted on 02/20/2009 3:24:38 PM PST by driftless2
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