Misuse of statistics. It would only apply if the two things were independent events. If some uses the Obama document to create the Phorgerie document, they aren’t independent.
***Interesting point, though completely invalid. Since the IBPhorgerie document is dated before the Obama document and the person involved claims to have sent it to the Obama team, the opposing conclusion is supported. And compelling.
Not invalid then. The statistics still require them to be indepenent. Even if it goes the other way, they aren't.