Replies

This was true in the past 30 years, but it didnt stop the Reagan elections or the elections of the GOP. In fact, we are electorally in a very similar situation that we were in in 1992.

The demographics of this country are changing rapidly. The US of today is nowhere near being the US of 1980 or 1984 or even 1990. Let me draw me draw some comparisons based on census information.

In 1980, one in 16 residents of this country was an immigrant. Today it is one in 8.

The population of the US in 1980 was 227 million; in 1990, 249 million; 2000, 281 million; and today 305 million. Over the past 28 years, we have added almost 80 million people, most of it due to immigration and minorities. Or to put it into some further context, We have added more people since 1980 than the entire population of the US in 1900, i.e., 76 million at that time.

In 1990 there were 248.7 million people with the Hispanic population being 22.3 million and blacks 30 million. Today there are 305 million with the Hispanic population now at 46.7 million and blacks at 41.1 million. Non-Hispanic whites are currently 199.8 million compared 199.6 million in 1990.

Minorities, now roughly one-third of the U.S. population, are expected to become the majority in 2042, with the nation projected to be 54 percent minority in 2050. By 2023, minorities will comprise more than half of all children.

In 2030, when all of the baby boomers will be 65 and older, nearly one in five U.S. residents is expected to be 65 and older. This age group is projected to increase to 88.5 million in 2050, more than doubling the number in 2008 (38.7 million).

Similarly, the 85 and older population is expected to more than triple, from 5.4 million to 19 million between 2008 and 2050.

By 2050, the minority population — everyone except for non-Hispanic, single-race whites — is projected to be 235.7 million out of a total U.S. population of 439 million. The nation is projected to reach the 400 million population milestone in 2039.

The non-Hispanic, single-race white population is projected to be only slightly larger in 2050 (203.3 million) than in 2008 (199.8 million). In fact, this group is projected to lose population in the 2030s and 2040s and comprise 46 percent of the total population in 2050, down from 66 percent in 2008.

Meanwhile, the Hispanic population is projected to nearly triple, from 46.7 million to 132.8 million during the 2008-2050 period. Its share of the nation’s total population is projected to double, from 15 percent to 30 percent. Thus, nearly one in three U.S. residents would be Hispanic.

The black population is projected to increase from 41.1 million, or 14 percent of the population in 2008, to 65.7 million, or 15 percent in 2050.

The Asian population is projected to climb from 15.5 million to 40.6 million. Its share of the nation’s population is expected to rise from 5.1 percent to 9.2 percent.

In 2050, the nation’s population of children is expected to be 62 percent minority, up from 44 percent today. Thirty-nine percent are projected to be Hispanic (up from 22 percent in 2008), and 38 percent are projected to be single-race, non-Hispanic white (down from 56 percent in 2008).

The working-age population is projected to become more than 50 percent minority in 2039 and be 55 percent minority in 2050 (up from 34 percent in 2008). Also in 2050, it is projected to be more than 30 percent Hispanic (up from 15 percent in 2008), 15 percent black (up from 13 percent in 2008) and 9.6 percent Asian (up from 5.3 percent in 2008).

This is a reality we have to deal with. What can I say, my wife is an immigrant and my kids are nonwhite.

My wife is an immigrant but white. The problem has more to do what is happening to the black and Hispanic families than race or ethnicity. The out of wedlock birthrates for Hispanics is 50% surpassed only by the black rate of 68%. Hispanics have the highest school drop out rates with blacks second. They are nearing 50%. This is the social pathology for failure in this society. We should be very concerned since the future of this nation is tied to their success.

Hispanic Family Values? Runaway illegitimacy is creating a new U.S. underclass. Unless the life chances of children raised by single mothers suddenly improve, the explosive growth of the U.S. Hispanic population over the next couple of decades does not bode well for American social stability.

Asians are outpacing whites in areas such as education and have lower out of wedlock births. If Asia was the source of most of immigrants, I would be less concerned about the future of this country. a

All your pathologies are relevent, but

“Asians are outpacing whites in areas such as education and have lower out of wedlock births. If Asia was the source of most of immigrants, I would be less concerned about the future of this country.”

The GOP should be winning the Asian voters. The fact that we arent is a testament to our inability to market, outreach and do politics the old-fashioned way, person to person.

The problem has more to do what is happening to the black and Hispanic families than race or ethnicity. The out of wedlock birthrates for Hispanics is 50% surpassed only by the black rate of 68%. Hispanics have the highest school drop out rates with blacks second. They are nearing 50%. This is the social pathology for failure in this society. We should be very concerned since the future of this nation is tied to their success.

Some groups come to America and succeed almost immediately. But other groups have a long, bleak track record of failure dating back hundreds of years to their countries of origin. Is there any way the latter groups could ever be convinced to support a capitalist system in which most of them will be relegated to burger-flipping duty?

Repairing the family and reinstating traditional values will lower the crime/dysfunction rate, but is there any evidence that their productivity could be increased to meet contemporary American standards?