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I know a lot of folks around here adamantly disagree with this, but I believe Bin Laden is dead and has been for nearly seven years.

When someone says one thing but does another, always believe what they do: The CIA disbanded their Bin Laden unit (Alec Station) in 2005. If they truly believed he was still alive, they wouldn't have decided that those resources were better used elsewhere.

Secondly, I've yet to see a tape that is in any way convincing. A 12 minute freeze up? Why not just re-shoot the tape if it wasn't impossible?

Why not have a tape of OBL holding up a copy of yesterday's Hyderabad Times saying "I'd like to congratulate the Pittsburgh Penguins on their 5-4 shoot out victory over the Philadelphia Flyers. We may or may not be about to unleash a wave of suicide bombings in U.S. shopping malls during the Christmas shopping season."

So long as you don't have absolute proof that he's dead, it makes sense to continue to function (at least publicly) as if he's still alive, but I believe they pretty well know he's dead.

Owl_Eagle

“When the stock market crashed,
Franklin Roosevelt got on the television
and didn’t just talk about
the princes of greed, he said,
‘Look, here’s what happened.’"
-Slow Joe Biden

Question. Why would you assume UBL would want to give us information freely that otherwise he knows is costing us tremendously in life and treasure? If he can make us wonder if we are chasing a ghost all the better for him. And that is for the masses, not for those on the hunt for him. They know what they know and he knows that. He is looking to affect the masses / Western public opinion.

Do you seriously believe the CIA disbanded units looking for AQ HVTs? A TF name change alone would allow for the silly/irrelevant stories about Alec Station.