the popular vote margin is about what I expected (O +6), but his ad buys and ground games were used very efficiently.
3 very close wins: NC, IN, MO are all due to the overwhelming advantage on the ground.
But now imagine that somehow McCain runs 6 pts better across the board, and ties in popular vote. Guess what - he still loses CO (by 2), IA (by 3) and NM (by a ton), and with it the election.
Here is the problem for the GOP candidates - the West is slipping away. CA, OR, WA are no longer competitive; and if CO, NM, NV are off the board as well, then we are in a big trouble for a long time.
I know, I know. Look we are in trouble long term in CO if that coalition stays together for the Dems. If it’s a one time GOTV phenomenon, not so much, but there is lots of room to worry.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus