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To: Norman Bates

the popular vote margin is about what I expected (O +6), but his ad buys and ground games were used very efficiently.
3 very close wins: NC, IN, MO are all due to the overwhelming advantage on the ground.

But now imagine that somehow McCain runs 6 pts better across the board, and ties in popular vote. Guess what - he still loses CO (by 2), IA (by 3) and NM (by a ton), and with it the election.

Here is the problem for the GOP candidates - the West is slipping away. CA, OR, WA are no longer competitive; and if CO, NM, NV are off the board as well, then we are in a big trouble for a long time.


94 posted on 11/04/2008 11:35:18 PM PST by ubaldus
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To: ubaldus

I know, I know. Look we are in trouble long term in CO if that coalition stays together for the Dems. If it’s a one time GOTV phenomenon, not so much, but there is lots of room to worry.


152 posted on 11/04/2008 11:54:58 PM PST by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: ubaldus
I think with a lot of the country turning Blue... we'll be out for a generation. I don't think we will see another Republican President elected again my lifetime. Ditto with Congress. The GOP is in a shambles and the conservative movement has hit rock bottom.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

156 posted on 11/04/2008 11:59:06 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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