[Question Liberal Authority]

Obama 47.5%, McCain 43.0%, Undecided 9.5%

So if McCain wins 52-48%, they can say that the undecideds all broke for McCain. If Obama wins 57-43%, they can say the undecideds went for Obama. And even if the margin is 60-40 Obama or 55-45 McCain, they can say their results were inside the margin of error.

I'm starting to sense why this outfit did so well predicting the race in 2004.

[justlurking]

I'm starting to sense why this outfit did so well predicting the race in 2004.

TIPP allocated undecideds to Bush and Kerry for their final estimate, based on factors they haven't published.

I expect them to do the same this year. Check back again at midnight tonight.