Posted on 11/03/2008 10:36:26 AM PST by dormee
I am seeing a lot of pundits/blogs talk about the democratic voter turn out, the problem is that none of them want to talk about the PUMA/Reagan Democrat/Operation Chaos factor and how all 3 will move to McCain. THAT is the story not being reported.
Nobama with a pretty smile plastered all over his face and McCain with a partial scowl. No bias here!
He told Cavuto several weeks ago he endorsed McCain, but yesterday it was pretty clear Fox is now fully in the tank with Obama.
Fox was off by 7.5% since they had Kerry up by 5% in their final 2004 poll.
I think he does.
No, they're still undecided....
Some people have been so fixated on those polls here.
We have had them daily since September, perhaps before.
I hope that doesn’t happen again. It’s pathetic. As inaccurate as those polls are, and we hang on baited breath for each new poll. The left is jobbing us with those polls, and our folks can’t wait to post the next one.
Give us a break folks. If I want to see falsified polls, I’ll got over the DU, KOS, Moveon, or the HuffnPuffington Compost.
This is not the 2004 ratio and it doesn’t seem to be taking PUMA into account if that is the ratio.
For what it’s worth....What are you doing back here you lying rumor mongering, Palin bashing troll. Who BTW, needs a “mommy group” to tell her how to think.
Yep. I think McCain/Palin screwed up on that one though. At this late date the chance to speak directly to voters (rather than just yelling at a campaign stump stop, I think a lot of people just change the channel when they see these speeches being brought out again and again by all parties involved) for 10 mins, on FOX news of all places where the climate has been reasonably pro-McCain/Palin was one that should have been taken especially after promising it.
Here’s the text of the release by FOX-
“Now on Friday, we promised you an interview with Gov. Sarah Palin. We did that because the McCain camp promised us, after weeks of negotiating, that the governor would sit down with me in Ohio on Sunday. On Saturday, less than 24 hours before the interview, the McCain camp canceled, saying that the the governor would not meet with us after all. They claimed that the governor suddenly did not have any time over the coming 72 hours to make good on her agreement of a 10-minute sit-down. We apologize for the McCain camp breaking its word. Our viewers certainly deserve better.”
Obama saw that coming, hence the visit to the Grandma on her death bed (who is still alive) and escorting his kids out for Halloween.
That was 1/4 of the Damn City!
You are incorrect.
Assuming that tomorrow's turnout breaks the same way, that's probably bad news for The 0ne -- hard to say if it's good news for McCain, though.
Why would white men break for Obama? That doesn’t compute unless they really buy his claims about guns (for one).
Pollster Vote Projections
DETAILS Survey BUSH KERRY
Zogby 11/1-2 49.4 49.1 0.3
Battleground: Tarrance (R) * 10/31 - 11/1 51.2 47.8
Battleground: Lake (D) ** 10/31 - 11/1 48.6 50.7
TIPP 10/30 - 11/1 50.1 48.0
Harris 10/29 - 11/1 49 48
Democracy Corps (D) 10/29-31 48.7 49.5
Gallup 10/29-31 49 49
Pew Research Center 10/27-30 51 48
Final Trial Heats ***
OTHER/
DETAILS Survey BUSH KERRY
Dates % % % % Bush Kerry
Marist College 11/1 49 50
GWU Battleground 10/31 - 11/1 50 46
TIPP 10/30 - 11/1 48.6 45.3
CBS News 10/29 - 11/1 49 47
FOX News 10/30-31 46 48
CNN/USA Today/Gallup 10/29-31 49 47
Democracy Corps (D) 10/29-31 47 48
NBC News/Wall St Journal 10/29-31 48 47
Zogby **** 10/29-31 48 47
ABC News 10/28-31 49 48
Washington Post 10/28-31 49 48
American Research Group 10/28-30 48 48
Pew Research Center 10/27-30 48 45
Newsweek 10/27-29 50 44
http://www.pollingreport.com/2004.htm
who?
In 2004 Fox News made predictions in 6 states, all in Battleground States. They made 3 calls right, and 3 wrong, and was off by an average of 8.33 points. None of their picks was the closest in a state, and one of their final polls was off by more than 10 points.
Ok I’ll defer, but that still makes it that Fox was off by over 5%.
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