Allow me to clarify. Rove did NOT say that Obama would win the race. He did have a predicted electoral count of over 300 electoral college votes for OBama....302 I think but don't hold me to it.
Now doesn't it take 270 electoral votes to be the winner? Correct me if I'm wrong. Thus I extrapolate that Rove is predicting Obama is the winner.
But again, Rove did NOT say this but come on..... He predicts over 300 electoral votes for Obama and by me that's a winner.
Good morning everyone,
Here’s something I found from the 2004 elections and posted on another thread:
Here are the figures from 2004 as of Nov 1 - Electoral Vote Predictor: Kerry 298, Bush 231.
“Another bumper crop of polls, 47 in all. Five states changed since yesterday. A University of New Hampshire poll breaks the tie there and gives Kerry a 1% edge in New Hampshire 49% to 48%. According to Zogby, Kerry is also edging ahead in New Mexico, 51% to 48%.
Now come some controversial polls. Yesterday we had Kerry ahead in Ohio on the strength of a Gallup poll showing him 7% ahead there. Today we have a new Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll showing Kerry 3% ahead there Please don’t send e-mail telling me what you think of Fox news. I’m pretty good at guessing, but I am trying very hard to be impartial. Tomorrow we’ll know. Similarly, in Wisconsin a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll shows Kerry’s 7% lead has vanished overnight and been replaced by Bush’s 3% lead. Again, PLEASE no e-mail about this. Instead, come back tomorrow for the post-mortem. If you don’t buy these numbers, add 30 to Kerry and subtract 30 from Bush to get Kerry 292, Bush 231.”
“Zogby has polled Bush’s job approval/disapproval rating in several states. This is often a key indicator of how an incumbent will do in his reelection campaign. An approval score substantially below 50% is indicates trouble ahead. Here are the approval/disapproval scores in some key states. Colorado 46%/54%, Florida 46%/53%, Iowa 45%/55%, Minnesota 43%/56%, New Mexico 47%/53%, Nevada 49%/51%, Ohio 43%/49%, Pennsylvania 445/55% and Wisconsin 45%/55%.”
They have the following:
NM - tied
CO - Barely Bush
VA - Barely Bush
MO - Weak Bush
WV - Weak Bush
OH - Barely Kerry
PA - Barely Kerry
FL - Barely Kerry
IA - Weak Kerry
ME - Weak Kerry
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Nov01.html
60 posted on Sunday, November 02, 2008 8:25:43 AM by Seattle Conservative (God Bless and protect our troops and their CIC)