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To: LS

Any other candidate proposing a civilian force like that would probably be forced out of the race because of the screams from the media. We’ll see when they try to make this a reality if civil libertarians and the people who scream about Bush being a dictator have any problems with it.

So how have your predictions been in the past? I admire your optimism of course. But it is hard not to be realistic when just about every “respectable” poll and pundit are saying things will go the other way. That would make victory for our side all the more stunning and gratifying. If you are right every FR member will laud you. :)

You are still confident about OH I see. Glad to hear it. If all the shenanigans going on there didn’t ignite and drive the GOP base to get out then it would surely indicate a sad state of affairs.


129 posted on 11/01/2008 7:53:43 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: TNCMAXQ
I was dead on in 2000, and in 2004. My margin of Bush's victory took a hit in 2000 because of the late DUI. In 2002, I called every competitive senate race correctly except John Thune, who lost by 500 late Indian votes.

In 2004, I called every competitive senate race except one, and I correctly called Wayne Allard's win in CO despite polls showing him trailing by 5.

In 2006 I was wrong on all the senate races. I had no inside polling, and was told if the Rs turned out, DeWine would win and Blackwell would make it close in OH. Well, the Rs in OH turned out and we found from down ballot voting that they didn't vote for DeWine or Blackwell. GUNS hurt DeWine a lot. There was an NRA-type mailer that went out at the last minute and turned a 1-point race into a loss. Blackwell was hammered by both Taft and the "Bradley Effect." Final polls had him at -6 to -10 . . . he lost by 25!

161 posted on 11/02/2008 4:25:08 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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