Good post. :)
Obama spending money on ads in Arizona is so Karl Rove vintage 2000. He knew that there was a large block of undecided voters and that they would break mostly for Gore. He wanted to create the impression that they were so confident of winning big that they thought even California was in play — all designed to discourage these undecided soon-to-be Gore voters from voting.
He is going to look really stupid spending time and money on VA, NC, AZ when he loses all of these states and also ends up losing PA and/or WI.