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To: itsthejourney

Don’t count those racist rednecks out yet. With the way polls oversample DEMS, a 4 point gap in Bambi’s favor probably means a 5 point McCain advantage.


14 posted on 11/01/2008 5:14:55 AM PDT by NavVet ( If you don't defend Conservatism in the Primaries, you won't have it to defend in November)
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To: NavVet
Don’t count those racist rednecks out yet. With the way polls oversample DEMS, a 4 point gap in Bambi’s favor probably means a 5 point McCain advantage.

McCain is winning since Obama is only getting 75% of his base!

What people have to stop doing is merely looking at the 'D' vs the 'R' and remember that Obama had to get a massive youth turnout to offset the Hillary loses, which he is not getting.

63 posted on 11/01/2008 5:50:20 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (O earth, earth, earth, hear the word of the Lord-(Jer.22:29))
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To: NavVet

The pollsters are being set up by ACORN. ACORN and its partners went into the battle ground states and registered hundreds of thousands of fake Democrats. The object was to make the polls greatly favor Obama.

How?

The pollsters poll a valid sample of Democrats to deterimine the turnout rate and the percent voting for Obama and the precent voting for McCain.

They then take the Democrat turnout rate times the number of registered democrats to get the total number of Democrat votes. Then they take the percent voting for Obama times the democratic turn out and that gives them the Obama vote.
If there are lots of fake Democrat Registrations then the poll shows that Obama is getting a lot more votes

But if there are hundreds of thousand of fake Democrats registered, then the Obama vote will calculate much higher than it actually will be.

Thus getting 75 percent of the calculated Democratic vote in 2008 would be a larger number than 90 percent of the actual cemocratic vote in 2004. The pollsters are actually counting the fake democrats as real voters.

But if those hundreds of thousands of fake registrations are not voted then Obama loses PA.

I believe the ACORN goal was to make Obama look like the sure winner. The one way to screw the polls is to have far more democrat names on the registration books than there are Republicans.

Fake Registered Democrats make Obama look far better in the polls than he will do.


79 posted on 11/01/2008 6:13:22 AM PDT by Common Tator
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