I understand this, but if Obama is losing many Dems to McCain, would it matter if polls oversampled too many Dems?
I mean, wouldn’t the poll still pick up on the Democrat defection, and have the race closer at this point?
The theory goes that the Democrats are lying or hanging up rather than having to defend why they’re a Democrat voting for the white opponent.
You keep asking this same stupid question and people keep answering you. It doesn’t matter if a bunch of dems are going to vote for McCain, the oversampling is what makes the polls come out for Bozo. Some polls are oversampled by 16 points, Rasmussen has it at 8 points. They take the answers they get from the phone polls, then they figure out how much they have to oversample in order to get the numbers they need to put Bozo ahead. In other words they ask so many more democrats than they do Republicans that even if a large number of Dems are voting for McCain it will still show Bozo ahead. Plus, people lie about who they are voting for. Get it?