[adorno]

ZOGBY: MCCAIN MOVES INTO LEAD 48-47 IN ONE DAY POLLING

I don't trust Zogby, no matter who's ahead.

Today (tomorrow?), he'll have McCain up by one, but, after he's done setting us up, he'll have Obama up by 5 the next day, and, we won't be able to question his polling since we probably believed him when McCain was up. We can't question his polling when the polling is favoring Obama and then get excited about the polling when McCain is up.

We need to be consistent.

[cdbull23]

The way I see it, we can be consistent in thinking that the polls give Obama an X% advantage.

Thus, when a poll shows McCain ahead, it really means that he's ahead whatever the poll says plus X%. So people get happy!