Until McCain slips behind, and then we'll be calling it "special sauce" time.
As someone who's been pessimistic the whole election, I am cautiously optimistic--i.e., I won't be surprised if Obama wins, but I can't deny the obviously positive information that's out there.
I have had this sense that media and Obama, their man, are doing what the leftists so often do, which is pile on. They are so aware that they are deceptive, so aware of their own attempts to hide the truth, that they get nervous and over-do it.
I think Obama's TV commercial may be his "suspending my campaign"--something that backfires and acts as a speedbump. In this case, though, it may have happened too close to election day for him to correct it, so he is making it worsr, possibly, with more stupid ads, more pressure, more rhetoric.
I may be delusional, but this is the most hope I've had in weeks.
This is Zogby. He starts playing with the percentages on who he is polling based on what he is seeing from early voting.
I think that he has seen that early turnout is not the landslide of young voters there was supposed to be as normal and is now making adjustments.
It is great see McCain/Palin in the lead though. It has been a long time.
That is, there are heavy negative sanctions (real & perceived) associated with expressing personal opinions with regard to Obama. As that is the case, there is a tremendous reluctance to even agree to respond to a poll, much less answer the questions truthfully.
Only in the privacy of the polling booth with the truth come out.