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Des Moines/Polk County is heavy Dem.

Rural areas more Repub.
Where I work, Iowa Vocational Rehabilitation, almost EVERYONE is on koolaid. I mean, they believe McCain is exactly like Bush, will continue all Bush did and Obama will bring “change”. They also depend heavily on funding, though, and Dems tend to be more generous with cash to keep us going.
OTOH, yard signs on the way home, most signs are McCain, 2 of 5 are O. In town, different, switched. But if you went only by the rural areas, McCain COULD possibly be in the running, if not take Iowa. But the cities typically go Dem.
Charles Grassly really came out and slammed Obama for something he must have said about how the farmers are making people fat, polluting the world and causing global warming, etc. Obama said he was just paraphrasing a magazine article, Grassly countered “that’s typical Obama, speaking how he REALLY feels then the next day, taking it back. This was all on WHO radio, typically listened to by the farmers of Iowa.........esp the noon market and farm reports.

Summary - I think Iowa is in play, but it’s going to be close. Obama doesn’t have more than say 4 points here over McCain.