RCP is an averaging technique and should be ignored....it includes the PEW poll which has the Messiah up by +15.....
The average doesn't include that poll anymore. But I see you point. Averages include polls we don't like. Actually, there isn't a poll in the average I do like.
Bears repeating. Even if Obama wins, credibility is over for RCP after this cycle. Any moron would exclude outliers like the Pew Poll, but they throw it right in.
One of the best signs that we're still in this thing is that the news media has begun citing the RCP average so much. It allows them to consistently show The One up by six or eight points and depress GOP turnout when the real race is 3 or 4 at most.