[Terpfen]

Shocking only to Rasmussen.

Get rid of the oversampling and selective methodology, McCain is probably up 3-4 nationally.

[angkor]

>>>>Get rid of the oversampling and selective methodology, McCain is probably up 3-4 nationally.<<<<

"Battleground" polls which are the least oversampled (49D/46R) have Obama up by 3%. "Pew" which are the most oversampled (53D/38R) have Obama up by 15% (!!!!).

Check this table at www.fivethirtyeight.com :

http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3159/2982704900_061cdf229d_o.png

[pgkdan]

Get rid of the oversampling and selective methodology, McCain is probably up 3-4 nationally.

At least.

[HamiltonJay]

If Rass is still targeting 39% D and 33% R and Fauxbama is only up 2 or 3 with that sampling model, he’s absolutely toast. Nationally the best D’s are going to manage are 39%, and the worst R’s are going to perform is 37%.

Most likely its going to be about the same as 04 with 37/37.

Fauxbama is losting this thing folks, I don’t care what the polls say, Fauxbama is not winning this election. The best he ever was was break even, and he hasn’t been near that in a long time.