Is it a miracle if the polling methodology used this year by all the major firms was poorly developed and the race was always fairly tight and McCain ends up winning?
All I’m saying is that to believe McCain is in “serious trouble” means you have faith in the polls. I prefer to put my faith in Americans. The NH Primary has already told us its an impossible year to accurately poll. After the media has told everyone they are “racist” if they don’t vote for McCain there is a significant group of people who will take the “approach avoidance” route and say they are voting for Obama when they are really going to vote for McCain.
Here is some realism: Obama is campaigning in PA. Is that what a candidate who has the state locked up does? When is the last time McCain campaigned in Idaho?