Chatted with a pollologist to make hide or hair of those numbers, and apparently it all comes down to Obamao’s margins in Philly, if it is below 400k and 80% of the vote, McCain can win PA, if Philly goes 80% for Obamao, it is a tough tough job to win PA.
Basically, McCain has to keep it reasonably close in Philly, and he has to up the margins that Bush got in the rural areas.
Is a pollogist a doctor of poles? Nevermind.
The undecideds are 7%. That could be a huge factor and I tend to think undies will go mainly for Mac.
Don’t forget, PA would have one of the biggest numbers of PUMAs who are deliberately saying they will vote for Zer-O.
I think if this is true, it is pretty good news.
again, Source?
In 2004 there were black precincts in Philly that reported 100% turnout with 99% for Kerry. This year they'll probably report a 110% turnout with 100% ) vote and nobody will challenge it.
Kerry beat Bush in Phila Cty by 80-20 margin. That was with the full endorsement of the Dem machine and the unions. That may not happen this year as union support for Obama is lukewarm. The machine bosses were Hillary supporters. Union members work for a living and would not appreciate being sold out to a tax and spend Marxist.