[Rokke]

"Megyn interviewed a guy from IBD about 15 minutes ago. He said today their poll will show a 4 point Obama lead."

Ah. Makes sense really. The IBD poll is a 5 day rolling average poll. Count back five days and look what is falling off today. Probably the best day McCain has ever had on the IBD poll.

A lot of times with the rolling average polls, what falls off can have more of an impact than what gets added on.

[cmt21]

Yeah, and it looks like Obama had a really good day 4 days ago. Am I reading that right? Maybe it will tighten back up tomorrow.

[NYC_BULLMOOSE]

“Ah. Makes sense really. The IBD poll is a 5 day rolling average poll. Count back five days and look what is falling off today. Probably the best day McCain has ever had on the IBD poll.

A lot of times with the rolling average polls, what falls off can have more of an impact than what gets added on.”
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that’s a very helpful observation — and encouraging inits own way.