[mnehring]

This day in 2004, thanks to Archive.org. (if they are as accurate as they claim, we have work to do, don't think it is breaking our way.)

http://web.archive.org/web/20041028075222/http://www.tipponline.com/

Release Date	Bush	Kerry	Undecided	Spread
October 27	47%	43%	11%	+4 Bush
October 26	47%	42%	10%	+5 Bush
October 25	48%	41%	11%	+7 Bush
October 24	47%	43%	11%	+4 Bush
October 23	47%	44%	10%	+3 Bush
October 22	45%	45%	11%	Tie
October 21	45%	44%	11%	+1 Bush
October 20	45%	45%	11%	Tie
October 19	45%	45%	10%	Tie
October 18	47%	44%	9%	+3 Bush
October 17	47%	43%	10%	+4 Bush
October 16	47%	44%	10%	+3 Bush
October 15	47%	43%	11%	+4 Bush
October 14	46%	42%	12%	+4 Bush
October 13	46%	43%	11%	+3 Bush
October 12	45%	44%	11%	+1 Bush
September 28	45%	46%	9%	+1 Kerry
September 20	46%	43%	11%	+3 Bush
September 13	47%	47%	6%	Tie

[sola_fide]

I was just thinking I'd feel a lot better if I saw at least one poll that had McCain leading.

[edzo4]

what value is a national poll when the election is not decided on a national vote?

obama could theoretically be up 10 points in a national poll and still lose the electoral vote

I believe obama will get more votes than mccain and lose

[Jim W N]

The difference might be, 2004 was an important election, whereas 2008 feels more like a war for the soul and future of America. Hope that difference both swings more undecided to the right and changes some minds from Obamastan to McPalin.