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Polls show Obama with clear lead in Virginia
AP ^ | Monday, October 27, 2008

Posted on 10/27/2008 2:26:05 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

THE POLL: Virginia Commonwealth University, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters (13 electoral votes).

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 51 percent, John McCain 40 percent.

OF INTEREST: Obama's strongest regions are northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong. Obama dominated among respondents who regarded the economy and health care as the most important issues. McCain was strong among people whose foremost concern was terrorism.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 20-22 by VCU's Center for Public Policy of 817 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points.

___

THE POLL: Washington Post, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters.

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 44 percent.

OF INTEREST: A month ago, the same poll showed that 52 percent felt McCain was best suited to handle the campaign against terrorism, 10 points better than Obama. Now, the poll shows that Obama has drawn almost even with McCain on the terrorism issue.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 22-25 among 784 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; leftwingconspiracy; mccain; obama; palin; sillystudents; studentsurveys; va2008
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To: Norman Bates
So the real answer is “Bush happened.”

I gather it's different elsewhere, but I personally don't know a single VA conservative who is supportive of the bailout. Everybody I talk to is fit to be tied. If McCain had come down on the right side of this issue VA wouldn't even be in play.

101 posted on 10/27/2008 3:41:17 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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To: MinorityRepublican

I think McCain/Palin will carry Virginia. I do not believe the polls are anyway telling this time. Too many factors that cannot be figured into the final tally.


102 posted on 10/27/2008 3:42:42 PM PDT by dforest (Is there any good idea out there that Obama doesn't lay claim to anymore?)
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To: Swing_Thought

I don’t believe that. Obama voted for the bailout.


103 posted on 10/27/2008 3:43:07 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Swing_Thought
But my gut tells me it's lights out for McCain here. I hope I'm wrong, but I doubt I am.

I'm trying to keep an open mind. But I think we'll know fairly early on election night. If Virginia goes for Obama, it's going to be a blowout. We shall see, but I'm not especially confident at this point.

104 posted on 10/27/2008 3:46:43 PM PDT by Citizen Blade (What would Ronald Reagan do?)
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To: Norman Bates
I don’t believe that. Obama voted for the bailout.

Conservatives won't be voting Obama... too many just won't be voting McCain. Too many might not be voting at all.

Look, the reality is that Warner (D) is well ahead of Gilmore for senate. If I were in a district represented by a Rino I might see no reason to vote at all.

VA, I fear, will be this year's FL... but we'll go the wrong way.

105 posted on 10/27/2008 3:50:05 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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To: Swing_Thought

“If I were in a district represented by a Rino I might see no reason to vote at all.”

Obama as President? Come on man!


106 posted on 10/27/2008 3:52:38 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Swing_Thought

Confession to everybody...

I AM a glass is half empty kinda guy.


107 posted on 10/27/2008 3:53:27 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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To: Swing_Thought
The other side's base is really energized. My gut tells me we're not

You couldn't possibly be more wrong.

But thanks for sharing.

108 posted on 10/27/2008 3:56:03 PM PDT by Cedric
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To: Norman Bates

No worry. I’m solid.


109 posted on 10/27/2008 3:56:26 PM PDT by Swing_Thought
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To: Citizen Blade

If Obama loses Pennsylvania it will be an early night.


110 posted on 10/27/2008 3:56:45 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: All
OK here we go again! Those of you that are sniveling in the corners in a fetal position shaking worried about polls need to spend that time for the cause! VOTE! VOLUNEER! It's only a damn week! Get your butts out there...DO SOMETHING besides piss and moan! Screw the polls..stay the course!!!! Photobucket
111 posted on 10/27/2008 3:59:18 PM PDT by ladyvet (WOLVERINES!!!!!)
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To: mrsmith
The raw numbers

All registered voters 902
Likely voters 817
VA Region
Northwest 116
Northern VA 249
West 179
South Central 158
Tidewater 200
Party identification
Democrat 289
Republican 250
Independent 320
Gender
Men 407
Women 495
Race
White 696
Black 127
Race by Gender
White men 318
White women 378
Education
H.S. or less 270
Some college 207
College grad 240
Post-college 180
Family Income
Under $50,000 264
$50K to under $100K 243
$100,000 or more 226
Age
18-44 231
45-64 405
65 and older 238

112 posted on 10/27/2008 4:21:44 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: 1035rep

At your service!

St. Louis Conservative, FloridaGOPvoter, DeamonDeac, bmweezer, abaldus, mary mary, Sibre Fan, o2bfree; indianyogi, rabscuttle385, robert david, DrHannibalLecter, LowTaxesEqualProsperity; uscabjd, teethodore, dools007, BillyM; Longstreet63, ScottinVA, ImJason, Don Blake, mathwhizz, zaker99, UpstateNYConservative, ottovbvs, techno, DocT111, nobamanada, tomymind, brandon craig, phillipgandor, ExiledChicagoan, italyconservative, I_hate_politicians, mister chicago, mquinn, MountainLoop, TheFourthMagi, FloridaBattleGround , Euker, LoveMyFreedom, parksstp, dougmelcher, 09Patriot, lovemmcain21


113 posted on 10/27/2008 4:58:54 PM PDT by Cedric
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To: Swing_Thought

So you feel this is similiar to Dole’s effort back in ‘96?


114 posted on 10/27/2008 6:49:41 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Swing_Thought
>>I once thought VA couldn't go Obama. I now think we will.<<

What you me "we," Kemo Sabe?

If Virginia goes to BO I don't see how McC can win.

115 posted on 10/27/2008 7:09:57 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)
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To: indylindy
LOL. I don't believe any survey conducted by students.
116 posted on 10/27/2008 7:38:42 PM PDT by TaxRelief (Walmart: Keeping my family on-budget since 1993.)
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; Swing_Thought

This was conducted by college students... the same people that steal my campaign signs.

I don’t buy it.


117 posted on 10/27/2008 7:45:48 PM PDT by TaxRelief (Walmart: Keeping my family on-budget since 1993.)
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To: Swing_Thought

i live in VA and my husband is a gloom and doomer like you. i don’t think that VA will go for Obama. i know my gloom and doomer is quite often wrong with his worst case scenarios, as i imagine you are, as well : )


118 posted on 10/28/2008 5:42:13 AM PDT by xsmommy
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