In trade had Bush at around 40% the weeks before the 2004 election. I bought a bunch and made a killing.
As a futures market, they pretty much suck. The amount of volume is fairly small and they generally show movement after the fact, not before.
Still, I’m buying up stock in Virginia, North Carolina, and Ohio.
The odds on them are ridiculous. With accurate reweighing, McCain is solid in the first 2 and about over even to make it in Ohio.
The Intraders have drunken the kool-aid of biased polling.
Agreed...
If you want to really take advantage of the “system” and take home some change as well.... Bet heavy on McCain....