I keep doing out the maps every day for the past couple months and I noticed something really interesting today:
If McCain wins Florida (Obama currently up 2.2 according to RCP), Ohio (also fairly likely even though RCP says Obama up 6), Pennsylvania (certainly possible, more so every day, especially with people like Murtha saying crap; Obama up ), Indiana, North Carolina (Obama up 1 on RCP), Nevada (Obama up 3.3 on RCP), and Missouri (Obama up 1 on RCP), he can still lose Minnesota, Iowa, and even lose Colorado and Virginia, and still win 273-265—— any thoughts on the likelihood of this?
I know Obama is leading in each of the states I mentioned above but it is largely within the margin of error and only god knows the validity of the polls for those that are not (Ohio-6 and Pennsylvania- 11). Any idea what the chances of carrying PA are?
Conversely, McCain would need both Virginia and Colorado (a tough feat I think) if he can’t get Pennsylvania
I actually had it where McCain wins the available electoral vote in Maine. Obama wins the one in Omaha. McCain wins OH, FL, NM, NC, IN, MO and VA. Obama wins WI, CO, MN, MI, PA. McCain ends up winning.
I love the comment in the article about the 100,000 volunteers. Sounds like a lot, right? Well with 200MM voters, that’s less than 1/20th of 1%. Plus, trucking 5000 people from Texas to New Mexico is a laugh. Once there, they’l be tired, looking for the coffee and donut table and kibitzing because everybody knows, liberals love free handouts and the sounds of their own voices. Ask ‘em to go door to door in New Mexico where the houses are 10 miles apart and they’ll do three houses and hide in the bush for the rest of the day!!