Well snarkyt, I’m looking at this election as if it were Election 2000, not 2004, we can win without NM and IA, both Bush 04 losses, “if” McPalin holds unto the mid atlantic and wins NH and CO.
The wild card is PA, McCain really pushed all in on PA.
Frum seems to forget some really simple metrics, Christians make up 130 million people in the US, firearms owners make up 70 million, people who think their taxes are too high already make up 99% of the American taxpaying public.
His middle of the road voter is actually a Center Right voter..
NEW HAMPSHIRE is not needed, though.
And he's a herd follower, also, in large part... which explains all the "drape measuring" and pretense of the election being already over, etc.