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Another take on the polls
Hillbuzz ^ | Hillbuzz

Posted on 10/25/2008 9:12:05 PM PDT by BillyM

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To: padre35

NEW HAMPSHIRE is not needed, though.


21 posted on 10/25/2008 9:56:16 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SumProVita

I do..sort of..but only among select Demographics, if I were the betting sort:

White, Seniors, Democrat, Voted for Carter and Clinton in ruralish districts.

Mostly the remnants of the Southern Democrats IMO.


22 posted on 10/25/2008 9:56:35 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: snarkytart

Sorry, they had MT and ND in the toss up category and I didn’t switch them. About had a heart attack. Yep, it all comes down to Colorado. Need more from John Elway!!


23 posted on 10/25/2008 9:57:01 PM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: padre35

Not in my part of the South. Here they talk about Obama’s taxes and now the redistribution of wealth. There may be a few old Democrats that still have their bias....but not many.


24 posted on 10/25/2008 10:01:17 PM PDT by SumProVita ("Cogito ergo sum pro vita." .....updated Descartes)
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To: snarkytart

Disagree, NH is New Mexico for us this election, it would help to offset a NV loss.


25 posted on 10/25/2008 10:02:55 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: padre35

oook. You can disagree, but the electoral map tells me that NH is not needed IF McCain holds onto all Bush states minus NM and Iowa.
I don’t think we are losing Nevada.


26 posted on 10/25/2008 10:04:32 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SumProVita

What part of the South are you from?

In Appalachia, central Appalachia, they’ve voted Democrat since Lincoln was a Republican, they won’t vote for Obama.


27 posted on 10/25/2008 10:05:07 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: padre35

Tennessee!!!!!!!!


28 posted on 10/25/2008 10:09:29 PM PDT by SumProVita ("Cogito ergo sum pro vita." .....updated Descartes)
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To: snarkytart

Bush won in NV by around 20,000 votes both times.

That was pre Acorn fraud, and pre Obama’s GOTV effort.


29 posted on 10/25/2008 10:10:46 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: padre35

I hope that ACORN is being watched now that the FBI is investigating them.
We’ll see. It’ll be close in both NV and CO, but I think McCain pulls it off.


30 posted on 10/25/2008 10:13:27 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SumProVita

How do you think Obamao will do in the Johnson City-TriCity region?


31 posted on 10/25/2008 10:13:45 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: snarkytart

My “gut” is telling me probably CO goes McCain, NV is very iffy, CO has a natural Republican advantage, NV...not so much.


32 posted on 10/25/2008 10:15:59 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: padre35

NV will be close, but I honestly think McCain wins it, and by what Bush did.
Polls show it tight. If we lose because of NV, I’ll be sick.
lol


33 posted on 10/25/2008 10:23:03 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: BillyM
FL, OH, NC, MO and NV

Add CO and PA, and we'll need a single Electoral Vote more to win.

(BTW - all the talk of NC going blue, this year, has never had any credibility, except in the incredible "in the tank" media in Raleigh. Even the Dem pollsters have put McCain at 50 percent plus, today. Clearly, however, the Obamatons are trying anything to wrap the Yellow "Police Line" tape around an election that hasn't happened yet. "Move along... nothing to see here." All that disinformation is just more attempts to keep us home. Ain't going to work.

34 posted on 10/25/2008 10:26:57 PM PDT by Prospero (non est ad astra mollis e terris via)
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To: padre35
His middle of the road voter is actually a Center Right voter

And he's a herd follower, also, in large part... which explains all the "drape measuring" and pretense of the election being already over, etc.

35 posted on 10/25/2008 10:30:45 PM PDT by Prospero (non est ad astra mollis e terris via)
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To: Prospero

If you get VA, FL, OH, NC, MO, NV, along with CO, we win...274 to 264. No need for PA or another electoral vote.


36 posted on 10/25/2008 10:32:13 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Prospero

Undecideds will break for McCain...IMO.


37 posted on 10/25/2008 10:33:37 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: padre35

Here is the only way we win.

We must have:
Colorado
Missouri
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Florida
Indiana
Ohio

http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard

Can this be done?


38 posted on 10/25/2008 10:38:58 PM PDT by ConstantConservative
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To: SumProVita

I don’t live in a state that this matters because we will go McCain. However, if other voters follow what some of the yellow dogs say behind closed doors, the Bradley effect will be a factor.


39 posted on 10/25/2008 10:42:16 PM PDT by au eagle
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To: ConstantConservative

“Colorado
Missouri
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Florida
Indiana
Ohio”

That is a wrong list, drop PA, pick up CO, and NC and Va stay Red, and we win, if we lose NV we must have NH to win.

Look at this way

Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Colorado.

If we win PA, we can lose VA and CO.

That list assumes that VA has turned Demo Blue, we will see about that!


40 posted on 10/25/2008 10:49:10 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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