Posted on 10/24/2008 9:47:08 PM PDT by no dems
Even though the McCain Campaign has pulled out of Michigan, I think they can still win the State on November 4. Here are 5 Resons why I believe MI can be in the GOP column on Election Night:
#1. 80% of Michigan's black population lives in the City of Detroit. The rest of the State is predominantly White folks who have loathed every Black Mayor Detroit has had going back to the days of Coleman Young. Detroit and the suburbs have a long history of racial tension. How many of you are old enough to remember Detroit burning in 1967?
#2. There are many Southern folks who live in Michigan. They came up from the South to work in the auto factories. They will definitely insure that the Bradley Effect of 6%(+) will kick in on Election Day.
#3. The people of Michigan are outraged that their Democratic Governor, Jenny "I wanna be Marilyn Monroe" Granholm, was reelected in '06 when the State was in economic turmoil at the time. Since then, Michigan has the dubious honor of having the second worst economy in the nation, and they blame Jenny, not the Bush White House and they want to "punish" the Democrats.
#4. In northern MI and in the upper peninsula, there are a gazillion hunters and outdoorsmen who, like Pennsylvanians, cling to their God and guns and they do not like B. Hussein.
#5. There is a very strong Evangelical and Catholic presence in Michigan. The Evangelicals who stayed home in '04 (when Kerry just barely defeated Bush in the State) and '06 will not stay home this year.
Well, that's it. Every Presidential Election year, Michigan get closer and closer to being a Red State. This year, even though McCain has pulled out of the State, I think "I'm seeing Red".
The problem here is people have come to believe their own nonsense over the past few months about how McCain will win PA or MI or MN. There is not a shred of proof of this, he is down by double digits in PA and MI, and fighting to keep his hopes alive in VA, NC and CO.
To win, McCain must hold off O in FL, VA, NC, MO, IN and OH. And then he has to win CO and NV. This is a tall order. He is on the defensive in too many states. I just don't see him pulling it off right now.
Perhaps the polls will change over the next 10 days, but I don't see it happening. Again, I hope I am wrong.
Touche’.
Thanks. If I have to win bull puckeys to make McCain gain votes, I will do so. The problem is, no matter how many bull puckeys I win, McCain is still having to fight in MO, VA, NC, IN, CO, NV, FL and OH. He has to win ALL of those states to win the Presidency. Otherwise he will win a bullpuckey.
The birth certificate issue will not go away. Whether now or later, he’s going to have to prove he passes the constitutional test of a natural-born U.S. citizen.
If it is after the election, what difference does it make? If has to be now.
The only real chance we have here in Michigan is Prop 2. We will have a strong Christian turnout for that. Embryonic Stem Cell research. So that could work in McCains favor, I hope anyways.
At this point, with no presence of a campaign to rally around, I doubt there is a chance of us losing the state by only a few percentage points. I think it will be above 5%.
Aren’t you happy the GOP didn’t even field a candidate for senate or 2nd congressional district. but some how green party got to run a candidate. I worked with the libertarian party for years and were told we couldnt put a candidate on the ballot, only presidential but somehow the greens get a shot. it pisses me off everytime the state GOP sends me an email about their”progress” what progress.
nwrep is just a big sniveler. If I really thought he/she was a conservative I’d be ashamed of the association.
They'd all be Conservatives if there were no tax-free Municipal Bonds. :-\
i live in ohio and i agree with you. also, michigan voted for kerry, barely, with a republican house and senate; now the dems are in control. michigan will go mccain as will ohio.
Everytime people say we can win Michigan this is what I say:
MICHIGAN HAS THE DUMBEST VOTER BASE IN THE COUNTRY (NEW JERSEY IS A VERY CLOSE 2ND)
When your unemployment rate is double digits and Democrats run your state and tax it to death and you vote for the same thing your DUMB.
When the foundation of the economy is oil and gas and your Democrat representatives vote no to drilling and put you out of work you are DUMB.
Sorry Michigan but the truth hurts. By the way GO APPSTATE.
I wish you were right, but unfortunately you are not. I live in central Michigan (Grand Rapids area), the western part of the state will go McCain, with the exception of the Battle Creek area of course.
In my opinion, there is just no overcoming the human orafice that is Detroit. It has been said that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results even though experience has shown otherwise. That is Detroit.They will continue to overwhelmingly support the Democrats even though it is precisely that support which has caused the utter destruction of their city.
In addition, there are so many people scattered throughout the state that have had jobs move to other countries.....they are mad and they blame Bush, and as a result McCain; its not fair in my opinion, but it is the way it is. The bottom line for the majority of Michiganders is the pocket book, which is also understandable,though very myiopic: personally I’d rather be broke and free than middle class and oppressed.
I have seen tons of McCain/Palin signs where I live. Most of the Obama signs I see are (1) teachers (2) uaw (3) houses that look like they want some of our ‘wealth’.
McCain can afford to lose a few of those if he wins PA.
OUTSTANDING!!!
Over the last 20 years, population in Wayne County has fallen by 12% yet the votes cast have risen by 16%.
In Oakland County, which R’s used to carry easily, they are now lucky to carry at all. Population has risen by 18% but votes cast have risen by 39%.
I am not a conspiracy theorist by any means. But something is desperately and frighteningly wrong with this story:
"A record 7.47 million Michiganians are registered to vote in the Nov. 4 general election, state officials announced Wednesday, including sharp increases in Democratic bastion Wayne County and several college areas where Barack Obama’s campaign has been especially active. That’s a 4.6 percent jump from January and represents a whopping 98 percent of the state’s voting age population, reported Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land. It’s also a 4.3 percent increase from the 2004 presidential election, even though the state’s population has dropped off by 30,000 in the past year alone. Since July, 230,000 new voters have registered."
It is, quite simply, impossible that 98 percent of the voting age population of any state has actually registered to vote. This is fraud on a colossal scale.
So basically, Michigan has already been stolen. That's why McCain pulled out.
Actually, it is astonishing to me how the Dims do NOT blame Grandmole, rather, they believe it's all "Bush's fault." It is truly incredible to me.
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