Posted on 10/23/2008 9:09:35 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Edited on 10/23/2008 9:29:53 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
Republicans are slashing their television advertising at Colorado's three biggest television stations, a troubling sign for presidential nominee John McCain.
McCain is headed to Colorado Friday, but public records provided by three Denver stations show the GOP this week cut their ad spending for McCain by 46%.
(Excerpt) Read more at ksby.com ...
My understanding is that the RNC is reallocating funds that were supposed to go to one of the Congressional candidates in Colorado. This happens in every election and both sides are constantly doing this, but the media only reports upon RNC activities because it supports their false “McCain is giving up on Colorado” narrative.
FYI: it’s now up on McCain’s website calendar: Sarah Palin is campaigning in Virginia on Monday.
It’s okay. McCain will ‘lead’ in the Senate, brokering the same deals he’d probably be brokering as president, starting with amnesty and then on to global warming.
I guess I’m only supposed to believe the polls that have McCain up. Got it.
Way to dodge the uncomfortable data staring you in the face.
You didn’t answer my question. Why drop spending across the board in these red states that are supposedly so vulnerable, while increasing spending in blue states that supposedly aren’t vulnerable? Can’t see the forest for the trees, I guess.
That is contradictory. Colorado Springs isn't in play! CSprings is part of El Paso County and usually goes 65%-70% for Republicans. I expect that percentage range to hold in 2008.
Bob Loevy is a local college Professor of Political Science and TV analyst here in the Springs. He stated the other day that statewide, polls always underestimate Republicans by 4% every election. IOW, add 4% to the current numbers for McCain and Bob Shaffer if you want to get closer to the actual final results.
It's hard to make a trend out of two weeks. Has spending gone up and down by a few percentage points each week for a while? If so, then is this a decrease or just a normal fluctuation. I assume that there is a finite amount of media buys available in a given week. It could be that Obama, and McCain, bought all they could for the week and that happened to be less than what was available the week before. Also, look at the National and Cable buys. How much of the money taken out of local media markets is now directed back at those very same media markets via Cable or the networks - spending in which rose almost 300 percent?
...while increasing spending in blue states that supposedly aren’t vulnerable?
He increased in three, Iowa, Maine and New Hampshire. Could be he sees the need to shore up support. There may have been some drop in internal polls. New Hampshire has to be considered a in play because it's been a traditionally Republican state, so Obama's spending more there and in Maine, since part of New Hampsire falls in Maine media coverage. As for Iowa, I'll point out that Missouri is in play, and parts of north and northeastern Missouri are covered by Iowa media markets. The total buy in Iowa went up a whopping $22,000, that could explain it. So now it's your turn. If North Carolina and Nevada are so safe for McCain, then why did his media buys in those two red states go up several times more than Obama's increas in blue states?
I asked about ads in NC specifically yesterday and was told the money discrepancy was an issue but I will not labor the point with you as I have given to the GOP but the fund is spread through all candidates not just McCain. I think Obama with Soros and his many “foreign” friends have done well for Obama...spending is said to be 4 to 1.
What are you talking about?
My reply was in response to you comparing Obama raising $605 million to McCain’s $84 million. You offered an apples to oranges comparison, not the facts. As I clearly pointed out.
How do you see $605 million for Obama alone to $84 million for McCain as apples to oranges? What either the DNC or RNC raise goes to more than just presidential candidates. Not clear to me why you are arguing, but whatever.
To imply that I or anyone else has said NV (won by three points the last two Presidential elections) is "safe" is absolutely laughable. Next?
And you've answered your own question on NC. Apparently, according to you and the media, Obama is leading in a host of red states like VA, NC, CO, FL, and OH. So why wouldn't McCain advertise there?
I explained it all to you in post #31. One more time.
The $605 million is what Obama has raised. IIRC, McCain has raised something like $200 million. However, Obama rejected public financing. McCain took public financing that amounted to $84 million. That means basically, McCain has had $284 million to spend compared to Obama’s $605 million and whatever he can raise between now and election day. That compares apples to apples. Problem is, McCain can’t raise anymore private funds. He’s restricted by law. The RNC and DNC raise money to spend on ALL candidates, including McCain. Handing some funding out to their national Senate and House committees.
Hope that clears up your confusion.
527s will be filling the gap.
“Don’t leave out VA ... same damned thing happening here. It’ not due to Virginians that there’s a contest in the Old Dominion, but immigrants from the Northeast who’ve crowded into Northern VA and changed the demographic completely. They came because they liked our low taxes. Argh.”
I was talking to a liberal couple here in Pittsburgh a couple of months ago. They are thinking of moving to Texas since the cost of living is lower (Austin to be specific). I suggested that they stay here to clean up the mess they’ve made. I know Austin is “blue”, but Pittsburgh is so blue it’s Soviet red.
I like to remind liberals that they like these programs they’ve put into effect, the least they can do is stay where they are and pay for them!
RM, the Springs IS in play. Why do you think the candidates have spent so much time here if it isn’t? Don’t delude yourself.
The Obama campaign is attempting to pick up as many votes as possible and drive down McCain's margin of victory in El Paso County in hopes of winning the state.
Bush received 67% of the vote in El Paso County in 2004 and 69% in 2000. GOP Cong Doug Lamborn CO-5TH, got 60% in 2006, after a tough primary battle. Lamborn’s predecessor, 10 term GOP Cong Joel Hefley usually garnered 70% of the vote.
If Obama drives down McCain's winning percentage under 65%, he's got a chance of taking Colorado. That is the Obama campaign strategy. Something a month ago I didn't think possible.
The only times El Paso County voted for a Democrat was for FDR in 1932 and 1936, and LBJ`s rout of Goldwater in 1964.
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