Replies

The last time VA went Democrat was in 1964

In the past 2 years, VA has snagged itself a Dem for a governor and a liberal senator who beat an incumbent many thought was a potential presidential candidate.

Come Nov, we'll probably loose the second senate seat to Mark Warner.

Yep. A lot of libs have moved into NOVA and have changed the state's voting habits. The area is like Maryland to the north. The south of the state remains conservative.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

In the past 2 years, VA has snagged itself a Dem for a governor and a liberal senator who beat an incumbent many thought was a potential presidential candidate.

Warner, Kaine and Webb didn't run as Liberals. They ran as Conservative Dems and managed to successfully "push" (as in create perceptions) that the Republicans they faced were far, far out on the fringe (except with Warner/Early - Early was just percieved as being asleep, which may have been true). Kaine didn't win VA ... Kilgore LOST VA by making a couple really idiotic comments (invoking Hitler analogies) that only served to reinforce the belief that he was "out there". Webb didn't win VA ... Allen LOST VA by making a couple really idiotic comments (Macaca, Ham Sandwich, etc) that only served to reinforce the belief that he was "out there".

NoVA is definitely trending blue, which is making the entire state trend purple. But not that blue ... in a normal election cycle a GOP moderate like Tom Davis could still be expected to hold his seat, and there's no way that a radical Liberal like Obama could win statewide. But unless McCain gets off the ball and starts spending up some of his alleged war chest here this isn't going to be a "normal" election cycle.