Obama out spent Hillary by 3 to 1 in Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Kentucky, and South Dakota .. yet Hillary won those states even after she had lost the nomination... People still voted for her. I believe the constant plaing of Obama commercials turned people off.
In 2004 Kerry was running as many as 30 commericals a day on Ohio TV stations during the final 2 weeks. Bush ran next to none. It was not because Bush did not have the money, it was because too many commericals turn people off Big time.
There is a school of thought that believes that Kerry by running so many spots, ticked off enough voters to give Bush Ohio. No matter what station there was a Kerry spot in every commerical break. The spots were not bad, but seeing them over and over just made them an irritant.
There is a lot of evidence that too many commericals are counter productive. They no longer convince people to vote for a candidate but make voters wish they would never see or hear of the SOB again. The way to accomplish that is to vote for his opponent.
Especially so if the candidate is unlikeable.
That's not why Bush took Ohio. He took Ohio because people like us took to the streets and the phones and rallied others to vote. Right now, the dems want us to feel down to suppress the vote. We cannot let that happen. Time to hit the streets and phones again.
I hope you are right. But Obama has enough money to flood the market with ads selling his fictional biography. Any comparisons with 2004 suffer from the lack of anything like the financial flood of the last week. If Iraq in 2004 had looked like Iraq in 2006, W would have been gone as surely as Carter in 1980.