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To: jwalsh07
To say how the Democrats and Republicans within a sample voted, is not to say what the percentages of Democrats v. Republicans are within that sample.

If I run a kennel, and I tell you that 60 percent of the dogs there like pork, while 70 percent of the cats there prefer chicken, you still don't know what the percentages are of dogs v. cats staying at the kennel. So I still don't have the internals of the IBD poll; thus I don't know if they're over or under-sampling Democrats.

46 posted on 10/13/2008 7:01:27 PM PDT by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

+


47 posted on 10/13/2008 7:02:19 PM PDT by Lady GOP
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To: BCrago66
That is about as precise as I've seen any poll......
49 posted on 10/13/2008 7:03:32 PM PDT by Osage Orange (" I did not have radical relations with that man, William Ayers. " -Barack Hussein Obama)
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To: BCrago66

Independents are +2. Obama is + 2. McCain two points does better with republicans than Barack does with democrats and gets 2 points more democrats than Obama does from republicans. I think we can infer from that that IBD is using a Dem +2 or 3 weighting.


50 posted on 10/13/2008 7:08:03 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (MSM Lied, Journalism Died. RIP 2008)
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